Garry Nolan: UFOs and Aliens
生物与进化AI 与机器学习太空与探索音乐与艺术政治与社会
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"It was becoming so obvious that this stuff was showing up again and again and again around our ships."
很明显,这些东西一次又一次地出现在我们的船上。
— Garry Nolan (1:12:43.020)
"And Lou Elizondo and Chris and others, to their great credit, found the right angle to talk about this."
值得赞扬的是,卢·埃里桑多(Lou Elizondo)和克里斯(Chris)以及其他人找到了正确的角度来谈论这个问题。
— Garry Nolan (1:12:53.900)
"He said, I'm not going to wait for the government to give me telescopic information about technologies"
他说,我不会等待政府向我提供有关技术的望远镜信息
— Garry Nolan (1:13:31.900)
🎙️ 完整对话(1817 条)
Lex Fridman (00:00.000)
How would you, as a higher intelligence,
作为一个更高智慧的人,你会如何
Lex Fridman (00:02.640)
represent yourself to a lesser intelligence?
向低等智力者展示自己?
Lex Fridman (00:06.160)
Do you think they saw what they say they saw?
你认为他们看到了他们所说的看到的东西吗?
Lex Fridman (00:09.760)
It didn't just start showing up in 1947.
它并不是 1947 年才开始出现的。
Lex Fridman (00:12.040)
How hard do you think it is for aliens
你觉得外星人有多难
Lex Fridman (00:13.720)
to communicate with humans?
与人类交流?
Lex Fridman (00:15.080)
What do we believe in?
我们相信什么?
Garry Nolan (00:15.920)
We believe in technology.
我们相信技术。
Lex Fridman (00:16.760)
So you show yourself as a form of technology, right?
所以你把自己表现为一种技术形式,对吗?
Lex Fridman (00:20.160)
But the common thread is you're not alone.
但共同点是你并不孤单。
Lex Fridman (00:24.020)
And there's something else here with you.
你这里还有别的东西。
Lex Fridman (00:26.220)
And there's something that's, as you said, watching you.
正如你所说,有某种东西正在注视着你。
Lex Fridman (00:31.920)
You are a professor at Stanford
你是斯坦福大学的教授
Garry Nolan (00:33.880)
studying the biology of the human organism
研究人体生物学
Lex Fridman (00:36.260)
at the level of individual cells.
在单个细胞的水平上。
Lex Fridman (00:38.640)
So let me ask first the big,
所以让我先问一个大问题,
Lex Fridman (00:42.120)
ridiculous philosophical question.
可笑的哲学问题。
Lex Fridman (00:43.740)
What is the most beautiful or fascinating aspect
最美丽或最迷人的方面是什么
Lex Fridman (00:47.000)
of human biology at the level of the cell to you?
您对细胞水平上的人类生物学有何了解?
Garry Nolan (00:50.000)
The micromachines and the nanomachines
微型机器和纳米机器
Lex Fridman (00:52.800)
that proteins make and become,
Garry Nolan (00:54.560)
that to me is the most interesting.
Lex Fridman (00:56.760)
The fact that you have this basically dynamic computer
Garry Nolan (01:02.000)
within every cell that's constantly processing
Lex Fridman (01:04.600)
its environment, and at the heart of it is DNA,
Garry Nolan (01:08.400)
which is a dynamic machine, a dynamic computation process.
Lex Fridman (01:12.760)
People think of the DNA as a linear code.
Garry Nolan (01:16.640)
It's codes within codes within codes.
Lex Fridman (01:18.600)
And it is actually the epigenetic state
Garry Nolan (01:21.920)
that's doing this amazing processing.
Lex Fridman (01:23.920)
I mean, if you ever wanted to believe in God,
Garry Nolan (01:26.320)
just look inside the cell.
Lex Fridman (01:28.240)
So DNA is both information and computer.
Garry Nolan (01:30.820)
Exactly.
Lex Fridman (01:32.180)
How did that computer come about?
Garry Nolan (01:34.840)
A big continuing on the philosophical question.
Lex Fridman (01:37.280)
Is this both scientific and philosophical?
Lex Fridman (01:39.440)
How did life originate on Earth, do you think?
Lex Fridman (01:42.360)
How did this, at every level, so the very first step
Lex Fridman (01:46.540)
and the fascinating complex computer that is DNA,
Lex Fridman (01:50.920)
that is multicellular organism,
Lex Fridman (01:52.560)
and then maybe the fascinating complex computer
Lex Fridman (01:56.120)
that is the human mind?
Garry Nolan (01:58.740)
Well, I think you have to take just one more step back
Lex Fridman (02:01.040)
to the complex computer that is the universe, right?
Garry Nolan (02:04.360)
All of the so called particles or the waves
Lex Fridman (02:08.320)
that people think the universe is made of
Lex Fridman (02:10.240)
and appears, to me at least, to be a computational process.
Lex Fridman (02:14.560)
And embedded in that is biology, right?
Lex Fridman (02:18.160)
So all the atoms of a protein, et cetera,
Lex Fridman (02:21.060)
sit in that computational matrix.
Garry Nolan (02:23.640)
From my point of view, it's computing something.
Lex Fridman (02:26.160)
It's computing towards something.
Garry Nolan (02:28.300)
It was created, in some ways, if you want to believe in God,
Lex Fridman (02:31.440)
and I don't know that I do,
Lex Fridman (02:32.520)
but if you want to believe in something,
Lex Fridman (02:35.000)
the universe was created or at least enabled
Garry Nolan (02:38.000)
to allow for life to form.
Lex Fridman (02:40.880)
And so the DNA, if you ask, where does DNA come from?
Lex Fridman (02:45.280)
And you can go all the way back to Richard Dawkins
Lex Fridman (02:47.200)
and the selfish gene hypothesis.
Garry Nolan (02:50.720)
The way I look at DNA, though,
Lex Fridman (02:52.640)
is it is not a moment in time.
Garry Nolan (02:56.280)
It assumes the context of the body and the environment
Lex Fridman (02:59.520)
in which it's going to live.
Lex Fridman (03:00.720)
And so if you want to ask a question of where
Lex Fridman (03:04.080)
and how does information get stored,
Garry Nolan (03:07.340)
DNA, although it's only 3 billion base pairs long,
Lex Fridman (03:10.880)
contains more information than, I think,
Garry Nolan (03:14.000)
the entire computational memory resources
Lex Fridman (03:18.200)
of our current technology.
Garry Nolan (03:20.240)
Because who and what you are is both what you were as an egg
Lex Fridman (03:24.440)
all the way through to the day you die,
Lex Fridman (03:27.640)
and it embodies all the different cell types
Lex Fridman (03:29.640)
and organs in your body.
Lex Fridman (03:31.660)
And so it's a computational reservoir
Lex Fridman (03:36.480)
of information and expectation that you will become.
Lex Fridman (03:40.680)
So actually, I would sort of turn it around a different way
Lex Fridman (03:43.720)
and say, if you wanted to create
Garry Nolan (03:46.480)
the best memory storage system possible,
Lex Fridman (03:50.560)
you could reverse engineer what a human is
Lex Fridman (03:53.320)
and create a DNA memory system
Lex Fridman (03:56.520)
that is not just the linear version,
Lex Fridman (03:59.840)
but is also everything that it could become.
Lex Fridman (04:03.320)
When we're talking about DNA,
Garry Nolan (04:04.280)
we're talking about Earth and the environment creating DNA.
Lex Fridman (04:06.960)
So you're talking about trying to come up
Garry Nolan (04:09.840)
with an optimal computer for this particular environment.
Lex Fridman (04:12.860)
Right.
Lex Fridman (04:13.700)
So if you were to reverse engineer that computer,
Lex Fridman (04:19.340)
what do you mean by considering
Lex Fridman (04:21.060)
all the possible things it could become?
Lex Fridman (04:22.940)
So who you are today, right?
Lex Fridman (04:24.780)
So 3 billion bits of information
Lex Fridman (04:27.540)
does not explain Lex Friedman, doesn't explain me, right?
Lex Fridman (04:31.660)
But the DNA embodies the expectation
Lex Fridman (04:35.420)
of the environment in which you will live and grow
Lex Fridman (04:40.040)
and become.
Lex Fridman (04:41.380)
So all the information that is you, right,
Garry Nolan (04:44.660)
is actually not only embedded in the DNA,
Lex Fridman (04:48.460)
but it's embedded in the context
Lex Fridman (04:50.060)
of the world in which you grow into and develop, right?
Lex Fridman (04:55.660)
But so all that information though
Garry Nolan (04:57.500)
is packed in the expectation of what the DNA expects to see.
Lex Fridman (05:01.740)
Interesting.
Lex Fridman (05:02.580)
So like some of the information,
Lex Fridman (05:04.880)
is that accurate to say is stored outside the body?
Garry Nolan (05:08.260)
Exactly, yeah.
Lex Fridman (05:09.860)
The information is stored outside
Garry Nolan (05:11.300)
because there's a context of expectation.
Lex Fridman (05:13.780)
Isn't that interesting?
Garry Nolan (05:14.660)
Yeah, it's fascinating.
Lex Fridman (05:15.740)
I mean, to linger on this point,
Garry Nolan (05:20.380)
if we were to run Earth over again a million times,
Lex Fridman (05:24.460)
how many different versions
Lex Fridman (05:26.100)
of this type of computer would we get?
Lex Fridman (05:28.060)
I think it would be different each time.
Garry Nolan (05:29.860)
I mean, if you assume there's no such thing as fate, right,
Lex Fridman (05:33.100)
and it's not all pre programmed,
Lex Fridman (05:35.340)
and that there is some sort of, let's say,
Lex Fridman (05:37.460)
variation or randomness at the beginning,
Garry Nolan (05:40.340)
you would get as many different versions of life
Lex Fridman (05:43.860)
as you could imagine.
Lex Fridman (05:45.380)
And I don't think it would all be
Lex Fridman (05:46.940)
unless there's something built into the substrate
Garry Nolan (05:50.540)
of the universe.
Lex Fridman (05:51.380)
It wouldn't always be left handed proteins, right?
Lex Fridman (05:55.780)
But I wonder what the flap of a butterfly wing,
Lex Fridman (05:58.420)
what effects it has,
Garry Nolan (06:01.260)
because it's possible that this system
Lex Fridman (06:04.660)
is really good at finding the efficient answer,
Lex Fridman (06:07.220)
and maybe the efficient answer is,
Lex Fridman (06:11.580)
there's only a small finite set of them
Garry Nolan (06:13.460)
for this particular environment.
Lex Fridman (06:14.820)
Exactly, exactly.
Garry Nolan (06:16.020)
That's the kind of, in a way, the anthropomorphic universe
Lex Fridman (06:19.340)
of the multiverse expectations, right?
Garry Nolan (06:21.460)
That there's probably a zillion other kinds of universes
Lex Fridman (06:24.860)
out there if you believe in multiverse theory.
Garry Nolan (06:28.500)
We only live in the ones where the rules are such
Lex Fridman (06:32.500)
that lifelike hours can exist.
Lex Fridman (06:35.900)
So using that logic, how many alien civilizations
Lex Fridman (06:39.220)
do you think are out there?
Garry Nolan (06:40.500)
There's like trillions of environments, aka planets,
Lex Fridman (06:48.340)
or maybe you can think even bigger than planets.
Lex Fridman (06:51.780)
How many lifelike organisms do you think
Lex Fridman (06:55.060)
are out there thriving, and maybe how many
Lex Fridman (06:58.500)
do you think are long gone, but were once here?
Lex Fridman (07:01.860)
I think, well, innumerable, I think in terms
Garry Nolan (07:05.700)
of the present. Greater than zero.
Lex Fridman (07:06.900)
Much greater than zero.
Garry Nolan (07:08.380)
I mean, I would just be surprised.
Lex Fridman (07:09.780)
What a waste, right, of all that space just for us
Garry Nolan (07:12.980)
if we're never gonna get there.
Lex Fridman (07:15.980)
That would be my first way to think about it.
Lex Fridman (07:19.780)
But second, I mean, I remember when I was about
Lex Fridman (07:25.900)
seven or eight years old, and I would love
Garry Nolan (07:27.420)
if any of your listeners could find
Lex Fridman (07:29.420)
this National Geographic.
Garry Nolan (07:31.380)
I remember opening the page of the National Geographic.
Lex Fridman (07:35.340)
I was about, again, seven to 10 years old,
Lex Fridman (07:37.980)
and it was sort of a current picture of the universe.
Lex Fridman (07:42.100)
It was around probably 1968, 1969.
Garry Nolan (07:45.540)
I just remember looking at it and thinking,
Lex Fridman (07:48.340)
what kinds of empires have risen and fallen
Lex Fridman (07:53.100)
across that space that we'll never know about?
Lex Fridman (07:57.980)
And isn't that sad that we know nothing
Lex Fridman (08:01.340)
about something so grand?
Lex Fridman (08:03.620)
And so I've always been a reader of science fiction
Garry Nolan (08:08.060)
because I like the creative ideas
Lex Fridman (08:11.660)
of what people come up with.
Lex Fridman (08:13.580)
And I especially like science fiction writers
Lex Fridman (08:16.260)
that base it in good science,
Lex Fridman (08:18.700)
but base it also in evolution.
Lex Fridman (08:21.300)
That if you evolve a civilization from something
Garry Nolan (08:26.140)
lifelike, right, some sort of biology,
Lex Fridman (08:29.340)
its assumptions about the universe will come
Garry Nolan (08:31.500)
from the environment in which it grew up.
Lex Fridman (08:36.540)
So for instance, Larry Niven is a great writer,
Lex Fridman (08:39.980)
and he imagines different kinds of civilizations.
Lex Fridman (08:43.420)
In some cases, what happens if intelligence
Lex Fridman (08:48.100)
evolved from a herd animal, right?
Lex Fridman (08:50.900)
Would you lead from behind, right?
Garry Nolan (08:53.420)
Would you be, you know, in his case,
Lex Fridman (08:56.660)
one of them were the so called puppeteers.
Lex Fridman (08:59.340)
And to them, the moral imperative is cowardice.
Lex Fridman (09:03.460)
You put other people forward to run the risk for you, right?
Lex Fridman (09:07.500)
And so he writes entire books around that premise.
Lex Fridman (09:11.260)
There's another guy, Brin, David Brin is his name,
Lex Fridman (09:15.220)
and he writes the so called uplift universe books.
Lex Fridman (09:19.820)
And in those, he takes different intelligences,
Garry Nolan (09:24.820)
each from a different evolutionary background.
Lex Fridman (09:28.540)
And then he posits a civilization based around
Garry Nolan (09:33.140)
where and what they came from.
Lex Fridman (09:36.020)
And so to me, I mean, that's just fun.
Lex Fridman (09:39.060)
But I mean, back to your original question is
Lex Fridman (09:42.060)
how many are there?
Garry Nolan (09:43.100)
I think as many stars as we can see.
Lex Fridman (09:47.100)
Now, how many are currently there?
Garry Nolan (09:49.940)
I don't know, I mean, that's the whole question of,
Lex Fridman (09:53.500)
you know, how long can a civilization last
Lex Fridman (09:55.780)
before it runs out of steam?
Lex Fridman (09:58.740)
And you, for instance, does it just get bored
Lex Fridman (10:02.060)
or does it transcend to something else?
Lex Fridman (10:03.900)
Or does it say, I've seen enough and I'm done?
Lex Fridman (10:06.620)
What does running out of steam look like?
Lex Fridman (10:08.260)
It could be destroy itself or get bored.
Garry Nolan (10:10.340)
You know, or we've done everything we can
Lex Fridman (10:13.340)
and they just decide to stop.
Garry Nolan (10:16.100)
I don't know, I just don't know.
Lex Fridman (10:17.940)
It's that you all must worry that we stop reproducing
Garry Nolan (10:21.340)
or we slow down the reproduction rate
Lex Fridman (10:23.260)
to where the population can go to zero.
Garry Nolan (10:25.380)
We can go to zero and we can't and we collapse.
Lex Fridman (10:27.780)
I mean, so the only way to get around that
Garry Nolan (10:30.620)
is perhaps create enough machines with AI
Lex Fridman (10:35.500)
to take care of us.
Lex Fridman (10:38.500)
What could possibly go wrong?
Lex Fridman (10:41.700)
You've talked to people that told stories
Garry Nolan (10:44.940)
of UFO encounters.
Lex Fridman (10:47.300)
What is the most fascinating to you about the stories
Garry Nolan (10:50.060)
of these UFO encounters that you've heard
Lex Fridman (10:53.380)
that people have told you?
Garry Nolan (10:54.500)
The similarity of them, the uniformity of the stories.
Lex Fridman (11:00.940)
Now, I just wanna say upfront,
Garry Nolan (11:04.180)
a lot of people think that when I speculate,
Lex Fridman (11:08.580)
I believe something, that's not true, right?
Garry Nolan (11:11.980)
Speculation is just creativity.
Lex Fridman (11:14.060)
Speculation is the beginning of hypothesis.
Garry Nolan (11:17.540)
None of what I hear in terms of the anecdotes
Lex Fridman (11:21.220)
do I necessarily believe are they true?
Lex Fridman (11:24.380)
But I still find them fascinating to listen to
Lex Fridman (11:26.580)
because at some level they're still raw data
Lex Fridman (11:29.620)
and you have to listen.
Lex Fridman (11:30.740)
And once you start to hear the same story again and again,
Garry Nolan (11:35.820)
then you have to say, well, there might be something to it.
Lex Fridman (11:37.900)
I mean, maybe it's some kind of a Jungian background
Garry Nolan (11:42.620)
in the human mind and human consciousness
Lex Fridman (11:44.500)
that creates these stories again and again
Garry Nolan (11:47.460)
as coming out of the DNA,
Lex Fridman (11:48.900)
it's coming out of that pre programmed something.
Lex Fridman (11:51.700)
And Jung talked quite a bit about this kind of thing.
Lex Fridman (11:54.300)
The collective unconscious.
Lex Fridman (11:56.420)
But actually one of the most interesting ones I find
Lex Fridman (11:58.780)
is this constant message
Garry Nolan (12:03.140)
that you're not taking care of your world.
Lex Fridman (12:07.300)
And this came long before climate change.
Garry Nolan (12:11.580)
It came long before many kinds of,
Lex Fridman (12:15.420)
let's say current day memes around
Garry Nolan (12:19.660)
taking care of our planet, pollution, et cetera.
Lex Fridman (12:25.100)
And so, for instance, perhaps the best example of this,
Garry Nolan (12:28.180)
the one that I find the most fascinating
Lex Fridman (12:30.220)
is a story out of Zimbabwe, 50 or 60 children,
Garry Nolan (12:35.500)
one afternoon in Zimbabwe.
Lex Fridman (12:39.660)
It was a well educated group of white and black children
Garry Nolan (12:43.900)
who had lunchtime in the playground, saw a craft
Lex Fridman (12:49.540)
and they saw little men.
Lex Fridman (12:51.740)
And they all ran into the teachers
Lex Fridman (12:53.580)
and they told the same story and they drew the same pictures.
Lex Fridman (12:56.900)
And the message several of them got was
Lex Fridman (13:00.380)
you are not taking care of your planet.
Lex Fridman (13:03.340)
And it got, you know, there's actually a movie coming out
Lex Fridman (13:06.980)
on this episode and 30 years later now,
Garry Nolan (13:11.300)
the people who were there, the children
Lex Fridman (13:13.020)
who've now grown up say, it happened to us.
Lex Fridman (13:16.220)
Now, did it happen?
Lex Fridman (13:18.260)
Was it some sort of hallucination
Lex Fridman (13:20.780)
or was it an imposed hallucination by something?
Lex Fridman (13:23.820)
Was it material?
Garry Nolan (13:24.860)
I don't know, but these kids were seven to 10 years old.
Lex Fridman (13:30.380)
You see them on video.
Garry Nolan (13:32.620)
Seven to 10 year olds can't lie like that.
Lex Fridman (13:35.500)
And so, you know, whether it's real or not, I don't know,
Lex Fridman (13:39.500)
but I find that fascinating data.
Lex Fridman (13:41.580)
And again, it's these unconnected stories
Garry Nolan (13:45.780)
of individuals with the same story.
Lex Fridman (13:50.980)
That is worthy of further inquiry.
Garry Nolan (13:56.700)
Yeah, so here we are humans with limited cognitive capacities
Lex Fridman (14:00.700)
trying to make sense of the world,
Garry Nolan (14:02.020)
trying to understand what is real and not.
Lex Fridman (14:04.260)
We have this DNA that somehow in complex ways
Garry Nolan (14:07.900)
is interacting with the environment.
Lex Fridman (14:09.460)
And then we get these novel ideas
Garry Nolan (14:16.460)
that come from the populace.
Lex Fridman (14:19.860)
And then they make us wonder about what it all means.
Lex Fridman (14:26.060)
And so how to interpret it.
Lex Fridman (14:27.380)
If you think from an alien perspective,
Lex Fridman (14:29.700)
how would you communicate with other lifelike organisms?
Lex Fridman (14:34.540)
You perhaps have to find in points
Garry Nolan (14:38.780)
on this interaction between the DNA and its manifestations
Lex Fridman (14:43.420)
in terms of the human mind
Lex Fridman (14:46.300)
and how it interacts with the environment.
Lex Fridman (14:49.260)
So it gets some kind of, all right, what is this DNA?
Lex Fridman (14:52.540)
What does this environment have to get in somehow
Lex Fridman (14:55.660)
to like interact with it, to perturb the system
Garry Nolan (14:59.300)
to where these little ants, human like ants
Lex Fridman (15:02.660)
get like excited and figures and see stuff out.
Garry Nolan (15:05.660)
Yeah, it has, and then somehow steer them.
Lex Fridman (15:09.740)
First of all, for investigative purposes,
Garry Nolan (15:11.660)
understand like oftentimes to understand a system,
Lex Fridman (15:14.740)
you have to perturb it.
Garry Nolan (15:15.740)
Exactly, yeah.
Lex Fridman (15:16.580)
It's like poke at it to get excited or not.
Lex Fridman (15:19.420)
And then the other ways you want to,
Lex Fridman (15:23.700)
if you worry about them,
Garry Nolan (15:25.460)
you can steer in one direction or another.
Lex Fridman (15:28.380)
And this kind of idea that we're not taking care
Garry Nolan (15:31.140)
of our world, that's interesting.
Lex Fridman (15:34.860)
I mean, that's comforting, that's hopeful
Garry Nolan (15:36.660)
because that means the greater intelligence,
Lex Fridman (15:39.620)
which is what I would hope would want to take care of us.
Garry Nolan (15:42.380)
Like we want to take care of the gorillas
Lex Fridman (15:44.900)
in the national parks in Africa.
Garry Nolan (15:47.140)
Yeah, but we don't want to take care of cockroaches.
Lex Fridman (15:49.780)
So there's a line we draw.
Lex Fridman (15:51.540)
So you have to hope that.
Lex Fridman (15:53.420)
Right now we're a bunch of angry monkeys
Lex Fridman (15:55.660)
and maybe whatever these intelligences are,
Lex Fridman (15:59.420)
are also keeping an eye on us.
Garry Nolan (16:01.860)
That you don't want a bunch of,
Lex Fridman (16:03.620)
you don't want the angry monkey troop
Garry Nolan (16:06.020)
stomping around the local galactic arm.
Lex Fridman (16:08.860)
Do you think these folks are telling the truth?
Lex Fridman (16:11.740)
Do you think they saw what they say they saw?
Lex Fridman (16:15.740)
I think they saw what they said they saw,
Lex Fridman (16:19.140)
but I also think they saw what they were shown.
Lex Fridman (16:22.420)
I mean, if you go back to the whole notion of,
Lex Fridman (16:25.900)
okay, how long has this been around?
Lex Fridman (16:28.380)
It didn't just start showing up in 1947, right?
Garry Nolan (16:31.300)
There are stories going back into the 1800s
Lex Fridman (16:36.140)
of people who saw things in their farming,
Garry Nolan (16:39.020)
in their farm fields in the US.
Lex Fridman (16:40.780)
It's in local newspapers from the 1800s, it's fascinating.
Lex Fridman (16:46.340)
But if you can go even further back,
Lex Fridman (16:48.860)
so to your point of how would you as a higher intelligence
Lex Fridman (16:54.140)
represent yourself to a lesser intelligence?
Lex Fridman (16:58.340)
So let's go back to pre civilization.
Garry Nolan (17:01.980)
Maybe you show yourself as the spirits in the forest
Lex Fridman (17:05.420)
and you give messages through that.
Garry Nolan (17:08.340)
Once you get a little bit more civilized,
Lex Fridman (17:10.860)
then you show yourself as the gods and then you're God.
Garry Nolan (17:13.980)
Well, we don't believe in God anymore necessarily,
Lex Fridman (17:16.140)
not everybody does.
Lex Fridman (17:17.420)
So what do we believe in?
Lex Fridman (17:18.420)
We believe in technology.
Lex Fridman (17:19.380)
So you show yourself as a form of technology, right?
Lex Fridman (17:22.820)
But the common thread is you're not alone
Lex Fridman (17:25.620)
and there's something else here with you.
Lex Fridman (17:28.780)
And there's something that's, as you said, watching you
Lex Fridman (17:31.420)
and at least watching over your shoulder.
Lex Fridman (17:35.780)
But I think that like any good parent,
Garry Nolan (17:38.740)
you don't tell your student everything, you make them learn
Lex Fridman (17:44.380)
and learning requires mistakes
Garry Nolan (17:46.300)
because if you tell them everything, then they get lazy.
Lex Fridman (17:50.060)
You've looked at the brains of, or information coming
Garry Nolan (17:56.500)
from the brain of some of the people
Lex Fridman (17:58.180)
that have had UFO encounters.
Garry Nolan (17:59.860)
What's common about the brain of people
Lex Fridman (18:01.820)
who encounter UFOs?
Lex Fridman (18:04.140)
So the study started with a group of,
Lex Fridman (18:07.940)
let's say a cohort of individuals that were brought to me
Lex Fridman (18:11.460)
and their MRIs to ask about the damage
Lex Fridman (18:16.140)
that had been seen in these individuals.
Garry Nolan (18:19.180)
It turns out that the majority of those patients
Lex Fridman (18:21.220)
ended up being, as far as we can tell, Havana syndrome.
Lex Fridman (18:24.100)
And so for me at least, that part of the story ends
Lex Fridman (18:28.940)
in terms of the injury,
Garry Nolan (18:30.180)
it's likely almost all Havana syndrome.
Lex Fridman (18:33.260)
That's somebody else's problem now, that's not my problem.
Lex Fridman (18:38.740)
But when we were looking at the brains of these individuals,
Lex Fridman (18:41.900)
we noticed something right in the center
Garry Nolan (18:44.140)
of the basal ganglia in many of these individuals
Lex Fridman (18:47.580)
that at first we thought was damage.
Garry Nolan (18:49.300)
It was basically an enriched patch of MRI dense neurons
Lex Fridman (18:56.060)
that we thought was damage,
Lex Fridman (18:57.540)
but then it was showing up in everybody.
Lex Fridman (18:59.140)
And then we looked and we said, oh, it's actually not.
Garry Nolan (19:01.580)
The other readings on these MRIs showed
Lex Fridman (19:04.060)
that actually that's living tissue.
Garry Nolan (19:06.820)
That's actually the head of the caudate in the pitamen.
Lex Fridman (19:10.100)
And at the time, and I remember even asking
Garry Nolan (19:12.100)
a good friend of mine at Stanford, who was a psychiatrist,
Lex Fridman (19:16.660)
what does the basal ganglia do?
Garry Nolan (19:18.380)
He said, oh, the basal ganglia is just about movement
Lex Fridman (19:21.740)
and nerve and motor control.
Garry Nolan (19:24.380)
I said, well, that's odd because these other papers
Lex Fridman (19:27.900)
that we were reading at the time started to suggest
Garry Nolan (19:30.140)
that it was involved with higher intelligence
Lex Fridman (19:34.580)
and is actually downstream of the executive function
Lex Fridman (19:38.340)
and involved with intuition and planning.
Lex Fridman (19:42.780)
And then if you think about it,
Garry Nolan (19:44.380)
if you're gonna have motor control,
Lex Fridman (19:46.700)
which is centralized in one place,
Garry Nolan (19:48.820)
motor control requires knowledge of the environment.
Lex Fridman (19:52.180)
You don't wanna move something and hit the table.
Garry Nolan (19:55.820)
Or if you're walking across a room,
Lex Fridman (19:57.620)
you want to be aware and cognizant
Garry Nolan (1:00:00.540)
we use stable isotopes and money these days
Lex Fridman (1:00:03.700)
as a counterfeiting tool.
Garry Nolan (1:00:04.860)
You basically embed certain ratios of isotopes
Lex Fridman (1:00:08.220)
in to make it harder for counterfeiters to accomplish.
Lex Fridman (1:00:14.140)
But other than that, we don't do anything with that.
Lex Fridman (1:00:16.660)
So why would you make grams of such material in this one case
Lex Fridman (1:00:21.940)
and drop it around on a beach in Brazil?
Lex Fridman (1:00:25.460)
So which case are we talking about?
Garry Nolan (1:00:26.940)
Describe that, because this is the Ubatuba case.
Lex Fridman (1:00:30.620)
Can you describe this case a little bit further,
Garry Nolan (1:00:32.660)
like what material we're talking about, just the full story
Lex Fridman (1:00:35.300)
of the case?
Garry Nolan (1:00:36.580)
It's an interesting one.
Lex Fridman (1:00:37.580)
It's an interesting one.
Lex Fridman (1:00:38.580)
So a fisherman saw an object that released something,
Lex Fridman (1:00:43.420)
or it exploded.
Lex Fridman (1:00:45.860)
And it was this relatively, I've got some big chunks of it,
Lex Fridman (1:00:51.420)
relatively pure magnesium with obviously something else in it
Garry Nolan (1:00:55.260)
because magnesium burns.
Lex Fridman (1:00:56.820)
So it had something in it that would, other metals,
Garry Nolan (1:01:00.660)
simple alloy that would prevent it from basically burning up.
Lex Fridman (1:01:07.900)
And so the question is, and so then we
Garry Nolan (1:01:10.900)
had two pieces that came from two different chains of custody,
Lex Fridman (1:01:15.660)
both claimed to be from the same object.
Garry Nolan (1:01:19.420)
At least physically, when you look at the two things,
Lex Fridman (1:01:23.220)
they look the same.
Lex Fridman (1:01:26.980)
So we took small fragments of each of them.
Lex Fridman (1:01:29.820)
We put them in an instrument called a secondary ion mass
Garry Nolan (1:01:32.260)
spec, which is an extremely sensitive instrument.
Lex Fridman (1:01:35.900)
And it can see down to 0.0001 mass units,
Garry Nolan (1:01:41.740)
which is important for, let's say, more arcane reasons.
Lex Fridman (1:01:46.100)
But it's a sensitive instrument.
Lex Fridman (1:01:48.780)
And so one of the chains of custody,
Lex Fridman (1:01:52.900)
we had two pieces from the same chain of custody,
Lex Fridman (1:01:55.860)
and then two pieces from the other chain of custody.
Lex Fridman (1:01:59.380)
One of them had completely normal magnesium isotope
Garry Nolan (1:02:04.140)
ratios, magnesium 24, 25, 26.
Lex Fridman (1:02:06.540)
And the other was off, not just slightly off, way off.
Lex Fridman (1:02:09.740)
And they were both off to the same extent.
Lex Fridman (1:02:14.860)
I mean, it was sort of like you had an internal control
Garry Nolan (1:02:18.020)
of what was normal.
Lex Fridman (1:02:18.860)
And you had this other one, which was wrong.
Lex Fridman (1:02:22.340)
And so you're left with kind of an open question.
Lex Fridman (1:02:28.540)
Was this a hoax?
Garry Nolan (1:02:29.900)
Were these two chains of custody, one of them a hoax,
Lex Fridman (1:02:32.420)
that somebody purposefully introduced those things?
Garry Nolan (1:02:35.100)
Because you could do it.
Lex Fridman (1:02:36.300)
It would cost a lot.
Garry Nolan (1:02:38.420)
I mean, at the time that this was found,
Lex Fridman (1:02:40.780)
I guess the 1970s or so, it might have been earlier,
Garry Nolan (1:02:45.020)
I forget, the amount that I had would
Lex Fridman (1:02:49.260)
have cost several tens of thousands of dollars to make.
Lex Fridman (1:02:53.940)
And again, it's not something you would just throw around.
Lex Fridman (1:02:56.180)
And why would you do it in the hope that some guy 30 years
Lex Fridman (1:02:58.860)
from then would pick it up and study it?
Lex Fridman (1:03:02.500)
Yeah, it's a very subtle, subtle troll.
Garry Nolan (1:03:05.100)
It's a long term plan.
Lex Fridman (1:03:08.140)
So I just don't know what to make of it,
Garry Nolan (1:03:12.340)
except it's interesting.
Lex Fridman (1:03:15.100)
So a different kind of question that you're asking
Lex Fridman (1:03:17.620)
is, what constitutes evidence?
Lex Fridman (1:03:21.500)
So is this sufficient evidence? Absolutely not.
Lex Fridman (1:03:27.700)
But somebody's put it forward.
Lex Fridman (1:03:29.660)
I have the time.
Garry Nolan (1:03:30.460)
It's my time.
Lex Fridman (1:03:33.020)
I'll study it.
Lex Fridman (1:03:33.740)
And my objective is to sort of take
Lex Fridman (1:03:36.140)
those that I think are credible enough
Lex Fridman (1:03:38.460)
and do a reasonable analysis, put it out there.
Lex Fridman (1:03:41.220)
And maybe somebody else will come up with an idea
Garry Nolan (1:03:43.260)
as to what it is.
Lex Fridman (1:03:44.580)
Now, what would be better is some sort of true technology,
Garry Nolan (1:03:51.140)
something that is obviously.
Lex Fridman (1:03:53.100)
We don't have it.
Lex Fridman (1:03:55.020)
And people like Neil deGrasse Tyson and Seth Shostak
Lex Fridman (1:04:00.460)
have come out rightfully and have said,
Garry Nolan (1:04:04.020)
when you show up with something really obviously technology
Lex Fridman (1:04:11.780)
that we don't understand, then we'll pay attention.
Garry Nolan (1:04:16.180)
Not just material.
Lex Fridman (1:04:17.260)
Not just material.
Garry Nolan (1:04:18.260)
A piece of metal is interesting.
Lex Fridman (1:04:24.100)
And several of the things that I've looked at
Lex Fridman (1:04:26.020)
and other things that people have come to me with,
Lex Fridman (1:04:29.580)
we've found to be completely banal
Garry Nolan (1:04:32.100)
or were actually pieces of aircraft
Lex Fridman (1:04:35.780)
that were invented back in the 1940s.
Lex Fridman (1:04:38.580)
And so take them off the table.
Lex Fridman (1:04:40.780)
But I think, again, I think showing up
Garry Nolan (1:04:46.740)
with technology that we humans would find completely novel
Lex Fridman (1:04:50.580)
is actually a really difficult task for aliens
Garry Nolan (1:04:53.460)
because it obviously can't be so novel
Lex Fridman (1:04:56.820)
that we don't recognize it for what it is.
Lex Fridman (1:05:00.340)
And I would say most of the technology aliens likely have
Lex Fridman (1:05:04.340)
would be something we don't recognize.
Lex Fridman (1:05:07.500)
So it's actually a hard problem how to convince ants.
Lex Fridman (1:05:11.900)
You first have to understand what ants are tweeting about.
Lex Fridman (1:05:16.300)
What they care about in order to inject into their culture.
Lex Fridman (1:05:21.420)
Because that's why I think it would be the technology
Garry Nolan (1:05:26.940)
that you could present is in the space of ideas,
Lex Fridman (1:05:29.660)
is try to influence individual humans with the encounters
Lex Fridman (1:05:35.780)
and try to, with this kind of thing that you mentioned
Lex Fridman (1:05:39.780)
about us not taking messages, about us not taking care of the world.
Garry Nolan (1:05:46.460)
It's difficult. I mean, for them to understand,
Lex Fridman (1:05:49.700)
you have to come up with trinkets that impress us.
Garry Nolan (1:05:52.420)
I mean, maybe the very technology,
Lex Fridman (1:05:56.020)
the fascination with the development of technology
Lex Fridman (1:05:58.540)
and the development of technology,
Lex Fridman (1:06:00.420)
the actual act of innovation itself
Garry Nolan (1:06:03.140)
is the thing that they're communicating.
Lex Fridman (1:06:05.980)
I mean, this is kind of what Jacques Vallée thinks about, is the role of...
Garry Nolan (1:06:11.380)
The control system, he calls it.
Lex Fridman (1:06:13.220)
The control system. Well, let me ask about Jacques.
Lex Fridman (1:06:16.620)
Who is he? You know him. Who is Jacques Vallée?
Lex Fridman (1:06:22.860)
What have you learned from him about life, about UFOs,
Lex Fridman (1:06:30.220)
about technology, about our role in the universe?
Lex Fridman (1:06:33.500)
Well, I met Jacques actually soon after the whole Atacama thing happened.
Garry Nolan (1:06:40.340)
I was visited by those people associated with the government
Lex Fridman (1:06:43.900)
and whatever around the Havana...
Lex Fridman (1:06:47.580)
What ended up mostly being Havana syndrome patients,
Lex Fridman (1:06:50.220)
but also Jacques at the same time.
Lex Fridman (1:06:51.500)
And they were actually working behind the scenes with each other,
Lex Fridman (1:06:54.500)
that, oh, here's this Stanford professor
Garry Nolan (1:06:57.260)
who is willing to talk about this stuff and investigate things.
Lex Fridman (1:07:01.500)
Maybe we should go talk to him.
Lex Fridman (1:07:03.060)
And he reached out through a colleague
Lex Fridman (1:07:06.060)
and he and I had lunch actually at the Rosewood Inn up on near Sandhill.
Lex Fridman (1:07:12.380)
So Jacques is one of the first openly active scientists,
Lex Fridman (1:07:19.820)
and he's really a scientist, in this area going back to the 1960s.
Lex Fridman (1:07:26.220)
And he's put forward a number of ideas,
Lex Fridman (1:07:31.820)
speculations about what it might be that people are interacting with.
Lex Fridman (1:07:36.060)
And the first thing that I learned from him
Lex Fridman (1:07:38.220)
is this notion of what he called Kabuki theater,
Garry Nolan (1:07:41.620)
that many of the things that people have seen are...
Lex Fridman (1:07:45.180)
I remember reading his books and thinking,
Garry Nolan (1:07:47.180)
he uses this word absurd a lot.
Lex Fridman (1:07:50.580)
He said, the things that people claim they see are absurd, right?
Garry Nolan (1:07:56.500)
A ship doesn't land in a farmer's field
Lex Fridman (1:08:00.820)
and then come up and knock on the door and say,
Lex Fridman (1:08:02.620)
can I have a glass of water?
Lex Fridman (1:08:03.900)
And these are stories literally out of newspapers from the 1930s.
Garry Nolan (1:08:08.100)
It's absurd.
Lex Fridman (1:08:09.660)
And the other thing that people say, ships don't crash.
Garry Nolan (1:08:12.620)
If you're so technologically advanced, you don't crash.
Lex Fridman (1:08:15.740)
It's absurd that they crash.
Lex Fridman (1:08:18.620)
So he says, this is put on as a show.
Lex Fridman (1:08:24.580)
It's an influence campaign, right?
Garry Nolan (1:08:29.420)
It's not meant to influence individuals.
Lex Fridman (1:08:31.860)
It's meant to influence a culture as a whole.
Garry Nolan (1:08:35.700)
Maybe they don't look at us as individuals.
Lex Fridman (1:08:37.620)
Maybe they look at us as an organism that lives on a planet, right?
Lex Fridman (1:08:43.460)
And perhaps rightly so.
Lex Fridman (1:08:45.220)
And so that's how you interact with them.
Garry Nolan (1:08:47.140)
That's how you influence them.
Lex Fridman (1:08:48.860)
So that was one of the first things that kind of took me back
Lex Fridman (1:08:51.420)
and realized, wow, there's actually...
Lex Fridman (1:08:53.780)
maybe there's a puppet master behind the scenes that's doing this influencing
Lex Fridman (1:09:00.580)
and that all this stuff about aliens is just not true, per se.
Lex Fridman (1:09:05.140)
They're just a representation of something that is meant to influence.
Lex Fridman (1:09:09.740)
So that was probably the most interesting.
Lex Fridman (1:09:11.220)
I mean, the man is brilliant.
Garry Nolan (1:09:13.340)
He's also, and I'm sorry, Jacques, he can also be incredibly annoying
Lex Fridman (1:09:18.420)
to have a conversation with because he will pick apart your arguments
Garry Nolan (1:09:23.660)
or anything that you think you know
Lex Fridman (1:09:25.500)
and show you why you don't know what you think you know.
Lex Fridman (1:09:28.900)
And he used the example that, for me, that is all you need
Lex Fridman (1:09:34.980)
is one counter example to any conclusion and you're wrong.
Lex Fridman (1:09:41.540)
And so I learned from him...
Lex Fridman (1:09:43.500)
I mean, I'm supposed to be a good scientist, but I learned from him,
Garry Nolan (1:09:47.180)
don't talk about conclusions, just talk about the data
Lex Fridman (1:09:50.820)
because data is not wrong.
Garry Nolan (1:09:52.060)
I mean, convince yourself that the data is not wrong or not an artifact,
Lex Fridman (1:09:55.820)
but be careful about your conclusions because whatever is going on,
Garry Nolan (1:09:58.660)
it's much more complicated than we imagine.
Lex Fridman (1:10:02.980)
Wow, that's powerful.
Garry Nolan (1:10:03.820)
Being able to always step back because we humans get excited.
Lex Fridman (1:10:07.460)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (1:10:07.700)
We start to jump to conclusions from the data, but always step back.
Lex Fridman (1:10:11.500)
Well...
Garry Nolan (1:10:11.700)
Powerful, being able to always step back because we humans get excited.
Lex Fridman (1:10:15.580)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (1:10:15.820)
We start to jump to conclusions from the data, but always step back.
Lex Fridman (1:10:19.620)
Well, in some of my Twitter feeds, when I dare to go on Twitter,
Lex Fridman (1:10:23.420)
are full of, well, when are you going to give us the answer?
Lex Fridman (1:10:27.340)
Science is not immediate.
Garry Nolan (1:10:29.180)
You're going to have to be patient.
Lex Fridman (1:10:31.020)
And even some of my science colleagues have said, well, where's the data?
Lex Fridman (1:10:35.060)
My answer to them has been, where's been your work to try to produce any?
Lex Fridman (1:10:39.940)
I'm not here to give you everything on a silver platter.
Garry Nolan (1:10:43.580)
We talked offline how much I love data and machine learning and so on.
Lex Fridman (1:10:48.260)
And it's been really disheartening to see the U.S.
Garry Nolan (1:10:51.620)
government not invest as much as they possibly could into this whole process.
Lex Fridman (1:10:56.940)
So let's jump to the most recent thing, which is what do you make of the report
Garry Nolan (1:11:01.540)
titled Preliminary Assessment, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena that was released by the
Lex Fridman (1:11:08.260)
Office of the Director of National Intelligence in June 2021.
Lex Fridman (1:11:12.740)
So this is what's like, okay, we're going to step back and we're going to like,
Lex Fridman (1:11:18.980)
where do we stand and where do we hope the future is?
Lex Fridman (1:11:21.500)
What do you make of that report?
Lex Fridman (1:11:22.540)
Is it hopeful?
Lex Fridman (1:11:23.700)
Is it?
Lex Fridman (1:11:24.220)
I see it as very hopeful, very hopeful.
Lex Fridman (1:11:26.860)
I think the adults are finally stepping up and being in charge, right?
Lex Fridman (1:11:31.860)
In the good sense of adult.
Lex Fridman (1:11:33.700)
What's that?
Lex Fridman (1:11:34.300)
In the good sense of adult.
Garry Nolan (1:11:37.580)
This childlike curiosity is a pretty powerful thing.
Lex Fridman (1:11:40.380)
That's true, yeah.
Lex Fridman (1:11:42.260)
But it's also, I think, the people who were worried that the populace at large might run
Lex Fridman (1:11:47.580)
screaming into the streets and riot, you know, have, you know, they basically,
Garry Nolan (1:11:53.180)
the empiric evidence is they're wrong.
Lex Fridman (1:11:55.300)
You know, these videos and all these things have been out for now, what, five years?
Lex Fridman (1:12:00.460)
Most people don't even know about it, right?
Lex Fridman (1:12:02.780)
So as hyped as it's been and all over the newspapers that it's been and et cetera,
Garry Nolan (1:12:08.780)
you know, even Tucker Carlson has talked about it many times on his news program.
Lex Fridman (1:12:14.460)
Joe Rogan has.
Garry Nolan (1:12:15.380)
A lot of people don't know about it.
Lex Fridman (1:12:16.820)
So I think people, if it's not affecting their day to day life,
Garry Nolan (1:12:20.700)
they're going on with their day to day life.
Lex Fridman (1:12:23.220)
So, but that said, I think it was an important sea change in the internal
Garry Nolan (1:12:30.020)
discussions going on in the government because, and the reason being,
Garry Nolan (1:12:35.460)
that I think this is actually partly true with the maturation of human social technology.
Garry Nolan (1:12:43.020)
It was becoming so obvious that this stuff was showing up again and again and again around our ships.
Lex Fridman (1:12:49.060)
They just couldn't keep it quiet anymore, right?
Lex Fridman (1:12:51.820)
And so it's like, we need to do something about it.
Lex Fridman (1:12:53.900)
And Lou Elizondo and Chris and others, to their great credit, found the right angle to talk about this.
Garry Nolan (1:13:00.580)
It says, well, okay, let's say it's not out there.
Lex Fridman (1:13:04.220)
Maybe it's the Russians, the Chinese or somebody else.
Garry Nolan (1:13:06.860)
We should know about this because we damn sure know it's not us.
Lex Fridman (1:13:11.380)
So that to me is an important thing to finally be a little bit more open about the matter.
Lex Fridman (1:13:20.660)
But like I often say, I'm not looking for people to give me permission to do anything.
Lex Fridman (1:13:26.140)
I'm just going to do the analysis myself with what I have.
Garry Nolan (1:13:29.180)
Avi Loeb has taken the same approach.
Garry Nolan (1:13:31.900)
He said, I'm not going to wait for the government to give me telescopic information about technologies
Garry Nolan (1:13:38.420)
or things that might be even on our own solar system.
Lex Fridman (1:13:41.940)
I'm just going to collect it myself.
Lex Fridman (1:13:44.140)
And that's the right way to do it, right?
Lex Fridman (1:13:46.420)
Don't wait for somebody else to give it to you.
Garry Nolan (1:13:48.740)
It's also possible to inspire a large number of people to do a wider spread data collection.
Lex Fridman (1:13:55.540)
Yes.
Garry Nolan (1:13:55.900)
I mean, you yourself can't do a large enough data collection that would,
Garry Nolan (1:14:00.700)
if you're talking about anomalous events, you should be collecting high resolution data
Garry Nolan (1:14:08.740)
about everything that's happening on Earth in terms of like, in terms of the kind of things
Lex Fridman (1:14:15.660)
that would indicate to you a strong signal that something weird happened here.
Lex Fridman (1:14:20.100)
And this is why governments can be good at funding large scale efforts.
Lex Fridman (1:14:26.180)
Yes.
Garry Nolan (1:14:26.740)
I mean, you know, NASA and so on, working with SpaceX, with Blue Origin, you know,
Garry Nolan (1:14:33.940)
fund capitalistic sort of fund companies, fund company efforts to do huge moonshot projects.
Garry Nolan (1:14:42.260)
Right.
Lex Fridman (1:14:43.060)
And in the same way, do huge moonshot data collection efforts in terms of UFOs.
Garry Nolan (1:14:47.860)
I mean, we're not, it needs to be like 10X, like one or two orders of magnitude more funding.
Lex Fridman (1:14:53.540)
Exactly.
Garry Nolan (1:14:53.860)
To do this kind of thing.
Lex Fridman (1:14:55.180)
And I understand on the flip side of that, if you make it about what are the Russians,
Garry Nolan (1:14:59.740)
whether the Chinese doing, you know, make it a question of geopolitics, it gets touchy.
Lex Fridman (1:15:06.620)
Because now you're kind of taken away from the realm of science and...
Garry Nolan (1:15:11.660)
Making it military.
Lex Fridman (1:15:12.700)
Making it military.
Garry Nolan (1:15:13.660)
Some of the greatest, this is what makes me as an engineer, makes me truly sad that some
Garry Nolan (1:15:18.620)
of the greatest engineering work ever done is by Lockheed Martin, and we will never know about it.
Garry Nolan (1:15:24.940)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (1:15:25.420)
I agree.
Garry Nolan (1:15:26.060)
I agree.
Lex Fridman (1:15:26.540)
I wish we were, it was different, but it's the world we live in.
Garry Nolan (1:15:33.340)
You know, but related to that UIP task force announcement that you just said, you know,
Garry Nolan (1:15:39.580)
the bill was passed in the Department of Defense and now it formally establishes an office
Garry Nolan (1:15:44.620)
to collate that information and also to be transparent about it.
Lex Fridman (1:15:50.380)
Money is now set aside, right?
Lex Fridman (1:15:52.780)
What do you think of it, just in case people don't know, the DOD establishing new department
Lex Fridman (1:15:57.580)
to study UFOs called Airborne Naming Command.
Lex Fridman (1:16:02.780)
But yes, Airborne Object Identification and Management Synchronization Group.
Lex Fridman (1:16:07.980)
Do you know how to pronounce that?
Garry Nolan (1:16:08.940)
No, I do not.
Lex Fridman (1:16:09.740)
No.
Garry Nolan (1:16:09.980)
AOI MSG.
Lex Fridman (1:16:11.980)
It's stupid and needs to be renamed, but...
Garry Nolan (1:16:13.820)
AOI MSG.
Garry Nolan (1:16:15.660)
AO, all right, is directed by the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence and Security.
Lex Fridman (1:16:22.300)
What do you make of this office?
Lex Fridman (1:16:24.060)
Are you hopeful about this office?
Garry Nolan (1:16:26.460)
I think there's still a tug of war going on behind the scenes as to who's going to control
Lex Fridman (1:16:30.700)
this.
Lex Fridman (1:16:32.220)
But I do know, though, that money has been set aside that will be used to make things
Lex Fridman (1:16:41.020)
more public, right, to start to get others involved.
Garry Nolan (1:16:45.100)
And, you know, I'm involved with an effort to get other academics involved.
Lex Fridman (1:16:51.660)
So you think there might be some of that money could be directed towards funding maybe like
Garry Nolan (1:16:55.820)
groups like yours to do some research here.
Lex Fridman (1:16:59.020)
So they would be open to that, you think?
Garry Nolan (1:17:01.020)
I hope so.
Lex Fridman (1:17:01.740)
I mean, nothing is set in stone yet.
Garry Nolan (1:17:04.060)
So, you know, and I'm not hiding anything because I just don't know anything, right.
Lex Fridman (1:17:08.460)
But I do think that there will be public efforts.
Garry Nolan (1:17:14.700)
Now, there are being set up other private efforts to bring monies involved and to use
Lex Fridman (1:17:21.580)
that to leverage and get access to some of the internal resources as well.
Lex Fridman (1:17:28.140)
So what you're seeing is kind of an ecosystem building up in a positive sense of people
Lex Fridman (1:17:36.140)
who are willing to do the research.
Garry Nolan (1:17:39.420)
So, you know, before it would be you couldn't even go to a scientist and ask them to help.
Garry Nolan (1:17:45.100)
Now, if there's money, as I said before, scientists are essentially capitalists.
Garry Nolan (1:17:50.060)
We go where the money is.
Lex Fridman (1:17:52.220)
I mean, the work that I've done, I did out of my own pocket.
Lex Fridman (1:17:55.980)
And probably about $50,000, $60,000, $70,000 of money went into the paper we published
Lex Fridman (1:18:02.220)
out of my own pocket.
Lex Fridman (1:18:05.580)
But the amount of money that needs to go in is in at least the few millions to do
Lex Fridman (1:18:10.540)
a proper analysis of these materials.
Garry Nolan (1:18:12.940)
The work I know that the Galileo project is involved with, it's probably in the, you
Lex Fridman (1:18:19.580)
know, 5 to 10 million range to get stuff done.
Lex Fridman (1:18:22.620)
But that's actually a relatively modest amount of money to accomplish something that
Lex Fridman (1:18:28.140)
has been in the zeitgeist for decades.
Garry Nolan (1:18:32.940)
I should also push back a little bit on something you probably will agree with.
Lex Fridman (1:18:37.100)
You said scientists are essentially capitalists.
Lex Fridman (1:18:39.180)
What I've noticed is there's certainly an influence of money, but oftentimes when you're
Garry Nolan (1:18:43.820)
talking about basic research and basic science, the money is a little bit ambiguous to what
Garry Nolan (1:18:52.380)
direction you're doing the research in.
Lex Fridman (1:18:54.380)
And the scientists get really good at telling a narrative of like, yeah, yeah, yeah, we're
Garry Nolan (1:19:00.220)
fulfilling the purpose of this funding, but we're actually, they end up doing really what
Lex Fridman (1:19:05.740)
they're curious about.
Garry Nolan (1:19:06.700)
Yes.
Lex Fridman (1:19:07.180)
And of course you cannot deviate like if you're getting funded to study penguins in Antarctica,
Garry Nolan (1:19:11.900)
you can't start building rockets, but probably you can because you will convince some kind,
Garry Nolan (1:19:17.420)
you'll concoct a narrative saying rockets are really important for studying penguins
Garry Nolan (1:19:21.580)
in the Antarctic.
Lex Fridman (1:19:22.380)
Right.
Garry Nolan (1:19:22.940)
I think that's actually, this is one thing I think people don't generally understand
Garry Nolan (1:19:29.980)
about the scientific mind is I don't know how capitalistic it is because if it was,
Garry Nolan (1:19:35.420)
they would start an effing company.
Lex Fridman (1:19:37.500)
No, no, no, no.
Garry Nolan (1:19:38.300)
I mean, when I meant capitalist, I didn't mean in the, they'll start companies per se.
Lex Fridman (1:19:44.140)
I mean, we can only do the research where there's money.
Lex Fridman (1:19:48.060)
And so from, you know, maybe it's a bad use of the term capitalist.
Lex Fridman (1:19:53.100)
But we will only do the research where there's money.
Lex Fridman (1:19:57.660)
I mean, why do most people work, many biologists work in cancer?
Lex Fridman (1:20:03.980)
Uh, work in cancer research because there's a lot of money there.
Garry Nolan (1:20:08.140)
It's an important problem, but I might not have ever gotten involved in it if there wasn't
Lex Fridman (1:20:14.620)
money.
Garry Nolan (1:20:14.940)
I might've gone and I was going to be a botanist when I, when I was a kid.
Lex Fridman (1:20:20.620)
That's what I wanted to do.
Garry Nolan (1:20:22.140)
Um, so having money available will bring people to bear.
Garry Nolan (1:20:28.460)
Now, another mistake that's often actually made, I think by the lay public about science
Garry Nolan (1:20:33.420)
is that people think that we're paid to do things.
Garry Nolan (1:20:36.620)
Just as you said, I get a research grant and luckily from the NIH there, they give you
Garry Nolan (1:20:41.260)
a fair amount of latitude.
Lex Fridman (1:20:43.420)
I will go my own way and I'll find something.
Garry Nolan (1:20:45.580)
I might've proposed something, but I'll end up somewhere entirely different by the end
Lex Fridman (1:20:50.380)
of the project.
Lex Fridman (1:20:51.500)
And that's how good science is done.
Lex Fridman (1:20:52.860)
You follow the, you follow the data, you follow the results.
Garry Nolan (1:20:56.700)
Um, and so that's what I'm hoping can be done here.
Garry Nolan (1:21:01.580)
I think the worst kind of thing that could be done with this subject area is to put it
Garry Nolan (1:21:07.500)
inside another company where they have a set plan of what it is they're going to do and
Lex Fridman (1:21:13.180)
the scientists either tell, do what the executives tell them to do or not.
Garry Nolan (1:21:18.300)
That isn't how anything will really get discovered.
Garry Nolan (1:21:21.100)
Put it, get it out into the public, get open minds thinking about it and then publishing
Garry Nolan (1:21:27.820)
on it and doing the right kind of work.
Lex Fridman (1:21:29.900)
That's how real progress will be made with this.
Garry Nolan (1:21:33.740)
Let's again, put our sort of philosophical hats on.
Lex Fridman (1:21:37.340)
Do you think the US government or some other government is in possession of something of
Lex Fridman (1:21:45.660)
extraterrestrial origin that is far more impressive than anything we've seen in the public?
Garry Nolan (1:21:53.980)
If I, I've not seen anything personally, but if I believe the people who I don't think
Garry Nolan (1:21:59.180)
can lie, yes.
Garry Nolan (1:22:02.540)
This is how does that make you feel in terms of the way government works, the way our human
Garry Nolan (1:22:07.580)
civilization works, that there might be things like that and we're not, they're not public.
Lex Fridman (1:22:13.580)
Is, is, is there a hopeful message for transparency that's possible?
Garry Nolan (1:22:17.100)
Like if you were, if you were, uh, in power and I'm not saying president because maybe
Lex Fridman (1:22:22.220)
the president is not the source of power here.
Lex Fridman (1:22:25.020)
Would you release this information in some way or form?
Garry Nolan (1:22:29.100)
Yes, if I were, I think it would, I think it's, I think it's something that can bring
Lex Fridman (1:22:36.060)
humanity together, right?
Garry Nolan (1:22:38.300)
I think that knowledge of this kind of thing to know that we are, you know, we are more
Garry Nolan (1:22:44.940)
alike than we are different in comparison to whatever this is, is, uh, is a positive
Lex Fridman (1:22:53.260)
thing for us.
Garry Nolan (1:22:55.100)
Um, and to know, you know, I don't necessarily care that the government has been hiding it.
Lex Fridman (1:23:01.180)
And I think, you know, people who've been talking about what we should give government
Garry Nolan (1:23:05.740)
officials or whatever amnesty, I think that's probably the right, the right answer.
Lex Fridman (1:23:10.380)
We don't, this isn't a time to look back and say, you did something wrong.
Garry Nolan (1:23:14.140)
You did whatever you did because that was the data you had available to you at the time
Lex Fridman (1:23:17.340)
and those, you had good reasons for doing it.
Garry Nolan (1:23:19.660)
Now, if your reasons were selfish, if your reasons where you wanted to do it because
Garry Nolan (1:23:24.780)
you wanted to monetize it yourself, uh, to the, to your benefit, but against that of
Garry Nolan (1:23:30.940)
others, then I think maybe there's something else that could be said, but you know, an
Lex Fridman (1:23:36.140)
opportunity to get all this information out.
Garry Nolan (1:23:38.220)
If I were in charge, I would, I would try to do it.
Garry Nolan (1:23:41.900)
Now I might be shown something though that says, there's a reason why you don't want
Garry Nolan (1:23:46.300)
to let anybody know this.
Garry Nolan (1:23:47.340)
Maybe you don't want to let anybody know this and maybe you don't want everybody have having
Garry Nolan (1:23:50.940)
access to unlimited, uh, energy because maybe you might turn it into a bomb or something
Garry Nolan (1:23:57.900)
that gives you hints that something like unlimited energy is possible, but you haven't figured
Garry Nolan (1:24:03.820)
it out yet.
Lex Fridman (1:24:04.820)
And if you make it public, maybe some of the other governments you have tensions with we'll
Garry Nolan (1:24:10.220)
figure it out first.
Lex Fridman (1:24:11.220)
Right.
Garry Nolan (1:24:12.220)
I mean, it's kind of an arms race going on, I think in all forms and it's, it makes me
Garry Nolan (1:24:17.180)
truly sad because, uh, it's obvious that, um, for example, the origins of the COVID
Garry Nolan (1:24:25.020)
virus, it's obvious to me that the Chinese government, whatever the origins are, is interested
Garry Nolan (1:24:32.380)
in not releasing information about it because it can only be bad for the Chinese government.
Lex Fridman (1:24:40.940)
And every government thinks like this, like every, actually this has been disappointment
Lex Fridman (1:24:46.300)
to me talking to PR folks at companies, like they're always nervous.
Garry Nolan (1:24:54.460)
They're always like conservative in the sense like, well, if we release more stuff, it can
Lex Fridman (1:25:00.780)
only be bad.
Lex Fridman (1:25:02.320)
And then an Elon Musk character comes along who tweets ridiculous memes and doesn't give
Lex Fridman (1:25:08.540)
a fuck.
Lex Fridman (1:25:10.660)
And I've been encouraging CEOs, I've been encouraging people to be transparent.
Lex Fridman (1:25:15.060)
And of course, government is national security is really like another level as human lives
Garry Nolan (1:25:20.940)
at stake.
Lex Fridman (1:25:22.380)
But let's start at the lighter case of just releasing some of the awesome insides of the
Garry Nolan (1:25:28.460)
tech, how, how the sausages made the technology and being transparent about it because it
Lex Fridman (1:25:34.340)
excites people.
Garry Nolan (1:25:36.060)
It uh, like you said, it, it connects people and inspires them.
Lex Fridman (1:25:42.780)
It's a good for the brand.
Garry Nolan (1:25:44.240)
It's good for everybody.
Garry Nolan (1:25:45.240)
I, I honestly think this kind of idea that people will steal the information and we use
Garry Nolan (1:25:49.940)
it against you is, um, is an idea that's not true in his idea of the 20th century.
Garry Nolan (1:25:56.780)
Like you said, some of the benefits of the social media, uh, our, our social world is
Garry Nolan (1:26:02.100)
that transparency is beneficial and I hope governments will learn that lesson.
Lex Fridman (1:26:06.860)
Of course, they're the, usually the last to learn such lessons.
Lex Fridman (1:26:10.380)
What do you make of Bob Lazar's story in terms of possession of aircraft?
Lex Fridman (1:26:15.340)
Do you believe him?
Garry Nolan (1:26:16.340)
I don't believe in the Bob Lazar story to be quite honest.
Garry Nolan (1:26:19.260)
I mean, I, uh, Jeremy Corbell has done a great job interviewing him and, uh, has done some,
Garry Nolan (1:26:28.460)
you know, beautiful, uh, documentaries.
Lex Fridman (1:26:31.700)
Um, I just don't, I, I don't know how to interpret it.
Lex Fridman (1:26:38.540)
And um, you know, and again, there's some of the people who I fraternize with think
Lex Fridman (1:26:45.100)
it's all rubbish.
Garry Nolan (1:26:46.100)
Uh, yeah, but he, maybe he's right, but I don't know.
Garry Nolan (1:26:49.380)
I mean, the, the problem is, and um, this is a little bit different about how I approach
Garry Nolan (1:26:55.820)
the whole area than a lot of others.
Garry Nolan (1:26:58.620)
I'm less interested in going over old paperwork and all these old histories of who said what,
Garry Nolan (1:27:04.980)
you know, the whole, he said, she said of the history of, of UFOs, I'm a scientist.
Lex Fridman (1:27:13.220)
I worked on the brain area because it's something I can collect data on.
Garry Nolan (1:27:18.740)
I can go back to the same individual, collect their MRI again and redo it.
Lex Fridman (1:27:22.900)
I can hand that MRI to somebody else.
Garry Nolan (1:27:24.620)
They can analyze it.
Lex Fridman (1:27:26.020)
I can get materials, I can analyze them.
Garry Nolan (1:27:28.740)
I can get some of these skeletons.
Garry Nolan (1:27:30.100)
I won't touch any skeletons ever again, but I can analyze it and somebody else can reproduce
Garry Nolan (1:27:34.100)
the data.
Lex Fridman (1:27:35.100)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (1:27:36.100)
I mean, that's what I'm good at.
Lex Fridman (1:27:37.780)
And so, you know, I'm, I, I, I'm not going to go into the whole, I'm not a historian.
Garry Nolan (1:27:43.340)
Yeah, that's true.
Lex Fridman (1:27:44.480)
But there's a human side to it.
Garry Nolan (1:27:48.060)
I want, sometimes I think with these, because again, anomalous, rare events, some of the
Garry Nolan (1:27:54.300)
data is inextricably connected to humans, the observations, I mean, I hope in the future,
Garry Nolan (1:28:02.620)
you know, that, that, that sensory data will not be polluted by human subjectivity.
Lex Fridman (1:28:08.740)
But you know, that's still, that's still powerful data, even direct observations, like if you
Garry Nolan (1:28:14.020)
talk about pilots.
Lex Fridman (1:28:15.020)
And so it's an interesting question to me, whether Babasar is telling the truth, whether
Garry Nolan (1:28:19.140)
he believes he's telling the truth too, and what also, what impact his story and stories
Lex Fridman (1:28:26.300)
like his have on the willingness of governments to be transparent and so on.
Lex Fridman (1:28:32.060)
So you know, you have to credit his story for captivating the imagination of people
Lex Fridman (1:28:38.700)
and getting the conversation going.
Garry Nolan (1:28:41.120)
He's maintained his story for all these years with little to no change that I'm aware of.
Lex Fridman (1:28:46.100)
So but there's so many other people who are, let's say, experts in that story.
Garry Nolan (1:28:52.820)
Their gut, you know, you accumulate a set of sort of circumstantial evidence where your
Lex Fridman (1:29:01.620)
gut will say that somebody is not telling the truth.
Garry Nolan (1:29:04.980)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (1:29:05.980)
You mentioned Avi Loeb, I forgot to ask you about Oumuamua.
Lex Fridman (1:29:11.860)
You know, because you've analyzed specimens here on Earth, what do you make of that one?
Lex Fridman (1:29:17.860)
And what do you make broadly of our efforts to look, look at rocks, essentially, or look
Lex Fridman (1:29:23.060)
at objects flying around in our solar system?
Garry Nolan (1:29:28.160)
Is that a valuable pursuit or maybe most of the stories can be, most of the fascinating
Lex Fridman (1:29:34.020)
things could be discovered here on Earth or on other nearby planets?
Garry Nolan (1:29:37.980)
Just going to Oumuamua, you know, I think Avi's insight is an interesting speculation,
Lex Fridman (1:29:46.980)
right?
Garry Nolan (1:29:48.540)
Like I was saying before, people can sometimes look at something and not see it for what
Garry Nolan (1:29:51.680)
it is.
Lex Fridman (1:29:53.860)
Somebody would just look at that and say, oh, it's an asteroid and dismiss it.
Garry Nolan (1:29:58.220)
There was something odd about the data that Avi picked up on and said, well, here's an
Garry Nolan (1:30:03.500)
alternative explanation that doesn't fit, that actually better fits the models than
Garry Nolan (1:30:08.220)
it just being a rock, you know.
Lex Fridman (1:30:10.380)
And to his credit, he just has ignored the critics because he believes the data is real
Lex Fridman (1:30:17.460)
and is using that then as a battering ram to go after other things.
Lex Fridman (1:30:22.240)
And I think that's, I think that's great.
Lex Fridman (1:30:24.660)
You know?
Lex Fridman (1:30:25.660)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (1:30:26.660)
What, what is his main conclusion?
Lex Fridman (1:30:27.660)
Does he say it could be of alien extraterrestrial origin?
Lex Fridman (1:30:31.900)
Is that his?
Lex Fridman (1:30:32.900)
Well, that's one of the things.
Garry Nolan (1:30:33.900)
I mean, he, you know, he's explained how it could be a light sale.
Lex Fridman (1:30:38.500)
And a light sale is certainly within near human capabilities to make such a thing.
Garry Nolan (1:30:44.380)
I think Yuri Milner, he's a Russian billionaire.
Garry Nolan (1:30:49.060)
He's involved, I think, in a project to make light sales with laser, you know, to, to launch
Lex Fridman (1:30:56.700)
them with laser power, essentially, towards Alpha Centauri, right?
Lex Fridman (1:31:03.140)
So it's something that humans could make.
Garry Nolan (1:31:07.700)
I think Avi's proposal is perfectly within the realm of possibility.
Lex Fridman (1:31:11.180)
I mean, sadly, the thing is, you know, now nearly out of our solar system.
Garry Nolan (1:31:15.700)
Yes, I mean, to me, that's inspiring to do greater levels of data collection in our solar
Lex Fridman (1:31:21.980)
system, but also here on Earth.
Lex Fridman (1:31:23.580)
And it just seems like we should be constantly collecting, collecting data because the tools
Garry Nolan (1:31:28.020)
of software that we're developing get better and better at dealing with huge amounts of
Garry Nolan (1:31:31.620)
data.
Lex Fridman (1:31:32.620)
It's changing the nature of science, I mean, collect all of the data, right?
Garry Nolan (1:31:37.020)
Collect the data.
Lex Fridman (1:31:38.020)
I mean, I, I, the Galileo project asked me over the weekend to join and I did.
Lex Fridman (1:31:43.340)
So you know, I'm not a specialist in any of the stuff that they're doing.
Lex Fridman (1:31:48.720)
But you know, in looking at the list of people who are on there, there are really no biologists
Garry Nolan (1:31:54.020)
on there.
Lex Fridman (1:31:55.020)
So at, at some point, if my expertise is required for something.
Lex Fridman (1:31:59.140)
What's the goal and the vision of the Galileo project?
Garry Nolan (1:32:01.600)
Better talk to Avi, but my understanding and just actually looking at the, at the sort
Garry Nolan (1:32:06.840)
of the bylaws this morning, literally just got them, is number one, collect the data
Lex Fridman (1:32:12.980)
on UAP.
Lex Fridman (1:32:13.980)
And number two, collect data on local, potentially local technological artifacts.
Lex Fridman (1:32:21.660)
I need to look into this.
Garry Nolan (1:32:23.460)
This is fascinating.
Lex Fridman (1:32:24.760)
And Avi is heading the Galileo project.
Garry Nolan (1:32:27.020)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (1:32:28.020)
Have you spoken to him?
Lex Fridman (1:32:29.020)
On this podcast?
Lex Fridman (1:32:30.020)
Yes.
Garry Nolan (1:32:31.020)
That was before, I believe it was before he was headed.
Lex Fridman (1:32:32.020)
Oh.
Lex Fridman (1:32:33.020)
Is this a new creation?
Lex Fridman (1:32:34.020)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (1:32:35.020)
The Galileo project was, I think it's about six or seven months old now.
Lex Fridman (1:32:37.700)
Okay.
Garry Nolan (1:32:38.700)
You know.
Lex Fridman (1:32:39.700)
That's amazing.
Lex Fridman (1:32:40.700)
And he's getting a group of scientists together.
Lex Fridman (1:32:41.700)
Oh yeah.
Garry Nolan (1:32:42.700)
That's awesome.
Lex Fridman (1:32:43.700)
Actually, I am, I was looking at some of their stuff over the weekend.
Garry Nolan (1:32:47.740)
I'm shocked at the level of organization that they've already got put together.
Lex Fridman (1:32:50.940)
That's amazing.
Garry Nolan (1:32:51.940)
It looks like a moonshot project.
Garry Nolan (1:32:53.620)
I mean, I've been involved with a lot of NIH, large NIH projects, which involve a lot of
Garry Nolan (1:32:59.040)
people in coordination and they're putting it together.
Lex Fridman (1:33:06.120)
So you're extremely well published in a lot of the fields we began this conversation with.
Lex Fridman (1:33:17.100)
So you're a legit scientist, but yet you're keeping an open mind to a lot of ideas that
Lex Fridman (1:33:27.820)
maybe require you to take a leap outside of the conventional.
Lex Fridman (1:33:33.160)
So what advice would you give to young people today that are in high school or in college
Garry Nolan (1:33:40.420)
that are dreaming of having impact in science or maybe in whatever career path that goes
Lex Fridman (1:33:47.720)
outside of the conventional that really does something new?
Garry Nolan (1:33:53.560)
If you believe in something, you believe that an idea is valuable or you haven't approached
Garry Nolan (1:34:01.620)
something, don't let others shame you into not doing it.
Garry Nolan (1:34:06.740)
As I've said, shame is a societal control device to get other people to do what they
Garry Nolan (1:34:12.840)
want you to do rather than what you want to do.
Lex Fridman (1:34:16.620)
So shame sometimes is good to stop you from doing something unethical or wrong, but shame
Garry Nolan (1:34:21.660)
also is something that is circumscribing your environment.
Garry Nolan (1:34:27.100)
I've never let people who've told me, you shouldn't do that line of science, you should
Garry Nolan (1:34:33.220)
be ashamed of yourself for even thinking that, give me a break.
Lex Fridman (1:34:38.020)
Why is it wrong to ask questions about this area?
Lex Fridman (1:34:41.340)
What's wrong with asking the question?
Lex Fridman (1:34:43.380)
Frankly, you're the person who's wrong for trying to stop these questions.
Garry Nolan (1:34:48.940)
You're the person who's almost acting like a cultist.
Garry Nolan (1:34:53.080)
You basically have closed your mind to what the possibilities are, and if I'm not hurting
Lex Fridman (1:34:58.580)
anybody, and if it could lead to an advance, and if it's my time, why does it bother you?
Garry Nolan (1:35:04.900)
I had a very well known scientist once tell me that I was going to hurt my career talking
Garry Nolan (1:35:10.000)
about this.
Lex Fridman (1:35:11.260)
If anything, it's enhanced my career.
Garry Nolan (1:35:13.220)
I have a couple of questions on this.
Lex Fridman (1:35:15.160)
So first of all, just a small comment on that.
Garry Nolan (1:35:18.400)
I've realized that it feels like a lot of the progress in science is done by people
Garry Nolan (1:35:24.700)
pursuing an idea that another senior faculty would probably say, this is going to hurt
Garry Nolan (1:35:29.900)
your career.
Garry Nolan (1:35:30.900)
I think it's actually a pretty good indicator that there's something interesting when a
Garry Nolan (1:35:36.100)
senior wise person tells you this is going to hurt your career.
Garry Nolan (1:35:40.620)
I think that's just the one, as a small, if I were to give advice to young people, if
Garry Nolan (1:35:45.420)
somebody senior tells you this is going to hurt your career, think twice about taking
Lex Fridman (1:35:49.580)
their advice.
Garry Nolan (1:35:50.580)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (1:35:51.580)
I mean, I think that's the primary thing.
Lex Fridman (1:35:54.580)
And the other, I tell my own students, I have a lab of about 20, 30 people and it's been
Lex Fridman (1:36:00.140)
that big since 1992.
Garry Nolan (1:36:03.500)
People come and go.
Lex Fridman (1:36:06.660)
It's not the data that falls in line that's so interesting.
Garry Nolan (1:36:14.020)
It's the spot off the graph that you want to understand.
Garry Nolan (1:36:21.580)
When something is way off the graph, that's the interesting thing because that's usually
Garry Nolan (1:36:26.060)
where discovery is.
Lex Fridman (1:36:28.500)
And the number of times that I've stopped people in my lab and said, wait a second,
Garry Nolan (1:36:32.220)
go back a few slides.
Lex Fridman (1:36:34.000)
What was that?
Lex Fridman (1:36:35.820)
And then it ended up being something interesting that made their careers, I could count on
Lex Fridman (1:36:42.580)
a few hands.
Garry Nolan (1:36:44.140)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (1:36:45.140)
Get excited by the extraordinary that's outside of the thing that you've done in the past.
Garry Nolan (1:36:53.060)
Just on a personal psychological level, is there, I'm sure at Stanford, I'm sure in you
Lex Fridman (1:37:01.780)
exploring some of these ideas, there's pressure.
Lex Fridman (1:37:05.020)
How do you not give in to the pressure?
Lex Fridman (1:37:09.820)
How do you not give in to the people that push you away from these topics?
Lex Fridman (1:37:17.980)
What would you say is shame?
Lex Fridman (1:37:19.460)
I just point to my successes.
Garry Nolan (1:37:22.060)
I say, you're the ones who told me not to start companies all this time ago.
Lex Fridman (1:37:28.520)
And now you're the one coming to me for advice for how to start a company.
Lex Fridman (1:37:34.900)
But from the scientific area, it's you're wanting to take something off the table that
Lex Fridman (1:37:43.000)
might be an explanation.
Lex Fridman (1:37:47.740)
How is that the scientific method?
Lex Fridman (1:37:50.860)
I reverse shame them.
Lex Fridman (1:37:54.220)
So purely with reason through conversation, you're able to do that.
Lex Fridman (1:37:56.860)
So it doesn't feel, because to me it would just feel lonely.
Garry Nolan (1:37:59.700)
There's a community.
Garry Nolan (1:38:01.540)
There's a community of science, and when you're working on something that's outside a particular
Garry Nolan (1:38:08.700)
conventional way of thinking, it can be lonely.
Garry Nolan (1:38:12.180)
There's in the AI field, if you were working on neural networks in the 90s, it could be
Garry Nolan (1:38:17.620)
lonely.
Garry Nolan (1:38:18.700)
I have met some of the most fascinating people ever that had I stayed the conventional track,
Garry Nolan (1:38:23.820)
I would never have met.
Lex Fridman (1:38:26.260)
Truly brilliant people because of this.
Lex Fridman (1:38:31.160)
So it is for those worried about, well, should I step outside of my comfort zone?
Lex Fridman (1:38:40.460)
You're going to meet some really interesting people.
Lex Fridman (1:38:42.900)
And because I'm open about this area, I'll go and give a talk in Boston, Harvard or MIT.
Lex Fridman (1:38:51.860)
And at dinner, inevitably, this subject comes up.
Lex Fridman (1:38:57.140)
And inevitably somebody else at the table will admit both that they're interested or
Lex Fridman (1:39:01.460)
that they've seen something.
Lex Fridman (1:39:03.520)
And suddenly the whole tone of the conversation changes.
Garry Nolan (1:39:07.020)
It's kind of like there's safety in numbers and then, or I've had people come to me afterwards
Garry Nolan (1:39:13.380)
after dinner and say, Hey, I don't talk about this openly, but.
Lex Fridman (1:39:19.420)
So the number of scientists who know that there's something else going on is much larger
Garry Nolan (1:39:27.660)
than the scientific community would like to think.
Garry Nolan (1:39:32.220)
That's a really powerful one, which is, I don't talk about this openly, but here's what
Garry Nolan (1:39:38.220)
I believe.
Lex Fridman (1:39:40.240)
And you'd be surprised how many people speak like this and hold those beliefs.
Lex Fridman (1:39:44.780)
And I am optimistic about social media and a more connected world to reveal more and
Garry Nolan (1:39:50.260)
more, like us not to have these two personalities, we're like this public and private one.
Garry Nolan (1:39:56.100)
We've mentioned the big questions of the origins of the universe.
Lex Fridman (1:39:59.140)
What do you think is the meaning of this whole thing for us humans, our human existence here
Lex Fridman (1:40:06.700)
on earth, or just at the individual level of a human life?
Lex Fridman (1:40:10.940)
What Gary is the meaning of life.
Garry Nolan (1:40:15.820)
I think that what we're going through today with this realization, it's kind of like you've
Garry Nolan (1:40:25.300)
lived on an island your whole life and you've looked across the ocean and you've never imagined
Garry Nolan (1:40:32.420)
there was another island with anybody else on it.
Lex Fridman (1:40:35.380)
And then suddenly a ship with sails shows up.
Garry Nolan (1:40:39.980)
You don't understand it, but you realize that suddenly your world just got a lot bigger.
Garry Nolan (1:40:45.740)
I think we're in one of those moments right now that our world view, our galactic view
Garry Nolan (1:40:52.960)
is opening to something a little bit bigger.
Lex Fridman (1:40:55.940)
And not just that there might be somebody else, but that there's something else.
Lex Fridman (1:41:03.760)
And what it is, is yet to be understood.
Lex Fridman (1:41:06.940)
And the fact that it isn't understood to me is what's exciting because I can fill it with
Garry Nolan (1:41:13.660)
my dreams.
Lex Fridman (1:41:16.300)
And this discovery our world might is about to get a lot more humbling and a lot more
Garry Nolan (1:41:25.580)
fascinating once we look out and realize we were on an island all along.
Lex Fridman (1:41:30.620)
It makes us both smaller but larger at the same time to me.
Garry Nolan (1:41:34.780)
You know, I can look outside at the stars and think and imagine what else might be out
Lex Fridman (1:41:42.140)
there.
Lex Fridman (1:41:43.140)
And although I know that I will never see it all, it excites me to know that it's there.
Garry Nolan (1:41:50.300)
Well Gary, both to respect your time and also because at 12 I turned into a princess, let
Garry Nolan (1:41:58.740)
me just say thank you for doing everything you're doing as a great scientist, as a person
Garry Nolan (1:42:05.700)
willing to reject the conventional, and thank you for spending your extremely valuable time
Garry Nolan (1:42:10.780)
with me today.
Lex Fridman (1:42:11.780)
Thanks for talking.
Garry Nolan (1:42:12.780)
Thanks so much.
Lex Fridman (1:42:13.780)
It was great talking.
Garry Nolan (1:42:15.060)
Thanks for listening to this conversation with Gary Nolan.
Lex Fridman (1:42:17.300)
To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
Lex Fridman (1:42:21.620)
And now let me leave you with some words from Stanislav Lem in Solaris.
Lex Fridman (1:42:27.460)
How do you expect to communicate with the ocean when we can't even understand one another?
Garry Nolan (1:42:34.860)
Thanks for listening and hope to see you next time.
Lex Fridman (20:01.660)
of what you might bump into.
Lex Fridman (20:03.660)
So obviously all of that planning
Lex Fridman (20:08.940)
requires access to all the senses.
Garry Nolan (20:11.380)
It requires access to your desires, memory,
Lex Fridman (20:14.460)
knowledge of where and what you want
Lex Fridman (20:16.380)
and desire to walk nearby.
Lex Fridman (20:18.540)
Like I used the example of if you're at a party,
Garry Nolan (20:20.780)
you wanna avoid that person, you like that person,
Lex Fridman (20:22.940)
the waiter is about to drop something.
Garry Nolan (20:25.220)
All without thinking, you maneuver.
Lex Fridman (20:28.500)
So that actually, all that planning is done
Garry Nolan (20:31.020)
in the basal ganglia.
Lex Fridman (20:33.580)
And it's actually now called the brain within the brain.
Garry Nolan (20:36.620)
It's a goal processing system.
Lex Fridman (20:40.540)
Subservient to executive function.
Lex Fridman (20:43.380)
So what we think we found there was not something
Lex Fridman (20:48.460)
which allows people to talk to UFOs.
Garry Nolan (20:50.380)
I mean, I think the UFO community took it a step too far.
Lex Fridman (20:55.420)
What I think we found was a form of higher
Garry Nolan (21:00.020)
functioning and processing.
Lex Fridman (21:01.980)
So what we then looked at,
Lex Fridman (21:03.620)
and this was the most fascinating part of it,
Lex Fridman (21:05.700)
we looked then at individuals in the families
Garry Nolan (21:09.580)
or those, let's say the index case individuals.
Lex Fridman (21:14.220)
And we found that it was actually in families.
Lex Fridman (21:16.620)
And more so, this is the most fascinating part.
Lex Fridman (21:20.140)
We've probably looked now at about 200 just random cases
Garry Nolan (21:24.260)
that you can download off of databases online.
Lex Fridman (21:27.540)
You don't see this higher connectivity.
Garry Nolan (21:31.020)
You only find it in what Kit Green would have called
Lex Fridman (21:34.580)
or has called higher functioning individuals.
Garry Nolan (21:37.100)
People who are, I mean, he called them savants.
Lex Fridman (21:42.980)
I don't have the means to, we haven't done the testing.
Lex Fridman (21:47.100)
But it turns out my family has it, right?
Lex Fridman (21:49.980)
We found it in me, my brother, my sister, my mother.
Garry Nolan (21:55.100)
We found it as well in other individuals,
Lex Fridman (21:57.900)
husband and wife pairs.
Lex Fridman (21:59.980)
So statistically, if you had a group of 20 individuals
Lex Fridman (22:03.580)
and you found two husband wife pairs, both of whom had it,
Lex Fridman (22:06.260)
and yet it's only found at about, we think,
Lex Fridman (22:08.740)
one in 200, one in 300 individuals.
Garry Nolan (22:11.020)
The fact that two individuals came together,
Lex Fridman (22:14.220)
two sets of individuals came together,
Garry Nolan (22:15.820)
both of whom had it, implied either
Lex Fridman (22:18.900)
a restricted breeding group or attraction.
Garry Nolan (22:25.460)
The reason why it seems to be in, let's say,
Lex Fridman (22:29.620)
so called experiencers or people who claim,
Garry Nolan (22:33.180)
if intuition is the ability to see something
Lex Fridman (22:36.020)
that other people don't,
Lex Fridman (22:36.860)
and I don't mean that in a paranormal sense,
Lex Fridman (22:40.260)
but being able to see something just in front of you
Garry Nolan (22:42.700)
that other people might just dismiss,
Lex Fridman (22:45.540)
well, maybe that's a function of a higher kind
Garry Nolan (22:48.220)
of intelligence to say, well, I'm not looking at an artifact.
Lex Fridman (22:55.180)
I'm not looking at something that I should just ignore.
Garry Nolan (22:58.020)
I'm seeing something and I recognize it for,
Lex Fridman (23:00.420)
not what it is, but that it is something
Garry Nolan (23:02.620)
different than what is normally found in my environment.
Lex Fridman (23:06.660)
Yeah, you know, I have a little bit of that.
Garry Nolan (23:09.700)
I seem to see the magic in a lot of moments.
Lex Fridman (23:13.700)
I have a deep, it's obviously, not obviously,
Lex Fridman (23:16.540)
but it seems to be chemical in nature
Lex Fridman (23:19.860)
that I just am excited about life.
Garry Nolan (23:23.460)
I love life.
Lex Fridman (23:25.220)
I love stupid things.
Garry Nolan (23:26.620)
It feels like I'm high a lot,
Lex Fridman (23:28.380)
on mushrooms or something like that,
Garry Nolan (23:30.860)
where you'd really appreciate that.
Lex Fridman (23:32.660)
So I'm able to detect something about the environment
Garry Nolan (23:38.140)
that maybe others don't, I don't know,
Lex Fridman (23:40.460)
but I seem to be over the top grateful to be alive
Garry Nolan (23:45.460)
for a lot of stupid reasons, and that's in there somewhere.
Lex Fridman (23:49.540)
I mean, it's kind of interesting
Garry Nolan (23:50.980)
because it really is true that our brains,
Lex Fridman (23:56.620)
the way we're brought up, but also the genetics
Garry Nolan (23:59.820)
enables us to see certain slices of the world,
Lex Fridman (24:03.780)
and some people are probably more receptive
Garry Nolan (24:08.940)
to anomalous information.
Lex Fridman (24:12.420)
They see the magic, the possibility in the novel thing
Garry Nolan (24:18.700)
as opposed to kind of finding the pattern
Lex Fridman (24:21.980)
of the common, of the regular.
Garry Nolan (24:24.340)
Some people are more, wait a minute, this is kind of weird.
Lex Fridman (24:27.380)
I mean, a lot of those people would probably
Garry Nolan (24:28.740)
become scientists too.
Lex Fridman (24:30.020)
Like, huh, there's this pattern happening
Garry Nolan (24:34.300)
over and over and over, and then something weird
Lex Fridman (24:36.060)
just happened, and then you get excited by that weirdness
Lex Fridman (24:41.020)
and start to pull the string and discover
Lex Fridman (24:44.260)
what is at the core of that weirdness.
Garry Nolan (24:46.220)
Perhaps, is that, maybe by way of question,
Lex Fridman (24:53.060)
how does the human perception system deal
Lex Fridman (24:55.420)
with anomalous information, do you think?
Lex Fridman (24:57.740)
Well, it first tries to classify it
Lex Fridman (24:59.300)
and get it out of the way.
Lex Fridman (25:00.940)
If it's not food, if it's not sex, right?
Garry Nolan (25:04.340)
If it's not in the way of my desires,
Lex Fridman (25:08.380)
or if it is in the way of my desires,
Garry Nolan (25:10.700)
then you focus on it.
Lex Fridman (25:13.660)
And so I think the question is
Lex Fridman (25:16.820)
how much spare processing power,
Lex Fridman (25:19.260)
how much CPU cycles do we spend
Lex Fridman (25:22.620)
on things that are not those core desires?
Lex Fridman (25:28.260)
What is the most kind of memorable, powerful
Lex Fridman (25:35.180)
UFO encounter report you ever heard?
Lex Fridman (25:38.660)
Just to you, on a personal level,
Garry Nolan (25:40.460)
like something that was really powerful.
Lex Fridman (25:42.820)
Well, I mentioned the Zimbabwe one.
Garry Nolan (25:45.060)
That's particularly interesting.
Lex Fridman (25:47.380)
And one that actually most people don't know about,
Lex Fridman (25:50.620)
but family driving down the highway,
Lex Fridman (25:54.860)
two little girls in the back, open glass topped car,
Lex Fridman (26:00.740)
and the little girls see a craft right over their car.
Lex Fridman (26:06.380)
This is in the middle of the day on a busy highway.
Garry Nolan (26:10.140)
The mother sees it.
Lex Fridman (26:12.580)
Nobody can, they look around, nobody else seems to see it.
Lex Fridman (26:16.380)
So the girls take out their camera, take a picture of it,
Lex Fridman (26:19.900)
and then they get home.
Garry Nolan (26:22.140)
They look at the picture.
Lex Fridman (26:24.500)
There's no craft, but there's a little object
Garry Nolan (26:28.220)
about 30 feet above their car or so,
Lex Fridman (26:31.980)
probably about three feet across, kind of star shaped.
Garry Nolan (26:36.340)
It's not the craft, but it's something else.
Lex Fridman (26:39.300)
Obviously there was something there.
Lex Fridman (26:41.300)
And so what were they seeing?
Lex Fridman (26:42.780)
Were they seeing a projection?
Lex Fridman (26:44.060)
Were they seeing, and why were only they seeing it?
Lex Fridman (26:46.900)
And the photograph was capturing something very different
Garry Nolan (26:52.460)
than what we're seeing, but they're still an object.
Lex Fridman (26:55.460)
Can you give a little bit of context?
Lex Fridman (26:58.220)
Is this from modern day?
Lex Fridman (26:59.700)
It's modern day.
Garry Nolan (27:00.540)
Oh yeah, they had a camera.
Lex Fridman (27:01.380)
I mean, they had a cell phone camera.
Lex Fridman (27:02.460)
And this is like a report provided.
Lex Fridman (27:06.020)
By the way, where is a central place to provide a report?
Lex Fridman (27:08.540)
Is this?
Lex Fridman (27:09.380)
Oh, there's a move on, but this isn't public.
Garry Nolan (27:11.020)
I've seen the picture.
Lex Fridman (27:12.660)
Oh, this is something you've directly interacted with.
Garry Nolan (27:14.540)
Yeah, yeah, I've seen the picture.
Lex Fridman (27:16.780)
So those moments like that, they captivate your mind.
Garry Nolan (27:23.220)
It's so different,
Lex Fridman (27:24.060)
and it doesn't fall into the standard story at all.
Lex Fridman (27:26.900)
But it also, but in another way, it's kind of a,
Lex Fridman (27:31.060)
it's a clear enunciation of this notion
Garry Nolan (27:33.780)
that when people see events,
Lex Fridman (27:36.300)
they don't all see the same thing.
Garry Nolan (27:37.900)
Now, we've heard this about traffic accidents.
Lex Fridman (27:40.380)
Different people will see the color of the car differently
Garry Nolan (27:42.860)
or the chain of events differently.
Lex Fridman (27:44.500)
And this tells you that memory isn't anywhere near
Lex Fridman (27:47.100)
what we think it is.
Lex Fridman (27:48.740)
But the issue around these so called UFO reports
Garry Nolan (27:52.380)
is that the same people will see a very different thing,
Lex Fridman (27:56.420)
almost as if whatever it is is projecting a,
Garry Nolan (28:01.660)
is projecting something into the mind
Lex Fridman (28:04.260)
rather than it being real, right?
Garry Nolan (28:06.980)
Rather than it being a real manifestation,
Lex Fridman (28:09.820)
material in front of you,
Garry Nolan (28:11.460)
it's actually almost some sort of an altered virtual reality
Lex Fridman (28:16.340)
that is imposed on you.
Garry Nolan (28:18.020)
I mean, I think the company Meta
Lex Fridman (28:21.860)
and all the virtual reality companies
Lex Fridman (28:23.820)
would love to have something like that, right?
Lex Fridman (28:26.500)
Where you don't have to actually wear something
Garry Nolan (28:27.820)
on your face to experience a virtual reality.
Lex Fridman (28:31.500)
What happens if you could just project it?
Garry Nolan (28:33.900)
Well, that's the fundamental question
Lex Fridman (28:35.180)
from an alien perspective.
Garry Nolan (28:37.140)
When you look at it, or as we humans look at ants,
Lex Fridman (28:40.180)
how does its perception system operate?
Lex Fridman (28:43.340)
So not only how does this thing's mind operate,
Lex Fridman (28:45.700)
how does the human mind operate,
Lex Fridman (28:47.740)
but how does their perception system operate
Lex Fridman (28:50.580)
so that we can stimulate the perception system properly
Garry Nolan (28:55.500)
to get them to think certain things.
Lex Fridman (28:57.460)
And so, that's a really important question.
Garry Nolan (29:02.540)
Humans think that the only way to communicate
Lex Fridman (29:06.940)
is in 3D or 4D space time, there's physical objects,
Garry Nolan (29:12.140)
or maybe you write things into some kind of language.
Lex Fridman (29:15.300)
But there could be just so much more richness
Garry Nolan (29:22.340)
in how you can communicate.
Lex Fridman (29:23.700)
And so, from an alien perspective,
Garry Nolan (29:25.300)
where somebody has much greater technological capabilities,
Lex Fridman (29:28.020)
you have to figure out how do I use the skills I have
Garry Nolan (29:31.540)
to stimulate the limited humans.
Lex Fridman (29:35.500)
Right, well, I mean, let's take the ants exam
Garry Nolan (29:37.940)
again as an example.
Lex Fridman (29:38.940)
Let's say that you wanted to make ants practical.
Lex Fridman (29:43.220)
You wanted to use them for something, right?
Lex Fridman (29:45.260)
You wanted to use them as a form of biological robot.
Garry Nolan (29:47.580)
Now, DARPA and other people have been trying
Lex Fridman (29:50.900)
to use insects for, turn them into biological robots.
Lex Fridman (29:56.060)
But if you wanted to, you would have to interact
Lex Fridman (29:58.700)
with their sense of smell, right?
Garry Nolan (30:02.180)
Their pheromone system that they use to interact
Lex Fridman (30:05.540)
with each other.
Lex Fridman (30:06.620)
So you would either create those molecules
Lex Fridman (30:10.580)
to talk to them, to make them do,
Garry Nolan (30:12.020)
I'm not saying talk to them as if they're intelligent,
Lex Fridman (30:13.700)
but talk to them to manipulate them in ways that you want.
Garry Nolan (30:16.860)
Or if you were advanced enough,
Lex Fridman (30:19.420)
you would use some sort of electromagnetic or other means
Garry Nolan (30:24.460)
to stimulate their neurons in ways
Lex Fridman (30:26.820)
that would accomplish the same goal as the pheromones,
Lex Fridman (30:30.380)
but by doing it in a sort of a telefactoring way.
Lex Fridman (30:34.180)
So let's say you wanted to telefactor with humans.
Garry Nolan (30:37.900)
You would interact with them.
Lex Fridman (30:40.860)
And this is, again, this is a technology
Garry Nolan (30:42.580)
which you could imagine possible.
Lex Fridman (30:45.380)
You could telefactor information
Lex Fridman (30:47.380)
into the sensory system of a human, right?
Lex Fridman (30:50.540)
But then each human is a little bit different.
Lex Fridman (30:53.220)
So either you know enough about them to tailor it
Lex Fridman (30:56.020)
to that individual, or you just basically take advantage
Garry Nolan (30:58.780)
of whatever the sensory net is that that individual has.
Lex Fridman (31:02.180)
So if you happen to be good at sound,
Garry Nolan (31:05.300)
or you happen to be a very visually inclined individual,
Lex Fridman (31:08.260)
then maybe the sensory information that you get
Garry Nolan (31:11.260)
that's most effective in terms of transmitting information
Lex Fridman (31:15.140)
would come through that portal.
Garry Nolan (31:17.180)
I think the aliens would need to figure out
Lex Fridman (31:19.780)
that humans value physical consistency.
Lex Fridman (31:22.700)
So we've discovered physics.
Lex Fridman (31:25.140)
So we want our perception to make sense.
Garry Nolan (31:28.420)
Maybe they don't, you know,
Lex Fridman (31:30.580)
that's not an obvious fact of perception,
Garry Nolan (31:32.900)
that you have to figure out what kind of things
Lex Fridman (31:37.140)
are humans used to observing
Garry Nolan (31:39.140)
in this particular environment of Earth,
Lex Fridman (31:41.500)
and how do we stimulate the perception system
Garry Nolan (31:44.860)
in a way that's not anomalous,
Lex Fridman (31:47.980)
or not too, it doesn't cross that threshold
Garry Nolan (31:50.620)
of just like, well, that's way too weird.
Lex Fridman (31:53.540)
So they have to, I mean, that's not obvious
Garry Nolan (31:56.040)
that that should be important.
Lex Fridman (31:58.420)
Maybe you wanna err on the side of anomaly,
Garry Nolan (32:02.380)
like lean into the weirdness.
Lex Fridman (32:04.020)
So communication is complicated.
Garry Nolan (32:06.780)
Well, that's why I always find this issue
Lex Fridman (32:09.620)
of people talking about the so called grays as interesting,
Garry Nolan (32:13.820)
because it is related to what you're saying.
Lex Fridman (32:17.300)
They're different enough,
Lex Fridman (32:19.460)
but they're not so different as to be scary, right?
Lex Fridman (32:22.380)
They're not venom dripping fangs, right?
Garry Nolan (32:25.540)
They're different enough,
Lex Fridman (32:27.860)
but it's also like they're what you could imagine
Garry Nolan (32:32.220)
us becoming in some distant future.
Lex Fridman (32:34.060)
So is that a purposeful representation?
Garry Nolan (32:37.920)
I don't know.
Lex Fridman (32:38.760)
I mean, I don't believe in the grays, for instance,
Lex Fridman (32:41.260)
but I believe that people think that they see it.
Lex Fridman (32:44.580)
So if we're talking about a communication strategy
Garry Nolan (32:47.160)
that says, you know, we're like you,
Lex Fridman (32:50.320)
but not the same as you,
Garry Nolan (32:53.320)
this might be a manifestation that you represent
Lex Fridman (32:57.660)
in terms of a communication strategy.
Lex Fridman (33:00.660)
What do you make of David's favorite sighting
Lex Fridman (33:04.060)
of the Tic Tac UFO,
Lex Fridman (33:06.300)
and other pilots who have seen these objects
Lex Fridman (33:09.540)
that seem to defy the laws of physics?
Garry Nolan (33:12.540)
Well, I think you have to take them at their word.
Lex Fridman (33:17.060)
Are they fascinating to you?
Garry Nolan (33:18.140)
Oh, absolutely.
Lex Fridman (33:18.980)
No, I know a lot of these people, right?
Lex Fridman (33:20.940)
So I know Lou Elizondo, Chris Mellon,
Lex Fridman (33:24.620)
the whole crowd I've been,
Garry Nolan (33:26.340)
I saw the videos about three weeks or so
Lex Fridman (33:30.500)
before they went public.
Garry Nolan (33:33.340)
I was at a bar with Lou overlooking the Pentagon
Lex Fridman (33:38.220)
in Crystal City, and they showed them to me,
Lex Fridman (33:40.160)
and my hair stood on end.
Lex Fridman (33:42.020)
And he said, this is coming out soon.
Lex Fridman (33:45.360)
And I know one of the guys on the inside
Lex Fridman (33:49.340)
who was the Naval Intelligence
Garry Nolan (33:51.380)
who had interviewed all of these pilots again
Lex Fridman (33:53.860)
before this came out.
Lex Fridman (33:55.540)
And it was hair raising to hear this,
Lex Fridman (33:58.780)
but also exciting that here's not just people's testimony,
Garry Nolan (34:04.460)
these are credible individuals.
Lex Fridman (34:05.860)
And if you've seen the 60 minute episode
Garry Nolan (34:08.300)
with some of the pilots,
Lex Fridman (34:11.620)
they have no monetary gain.
Garry Nolan (34:13.180)
If anything, they've got negative gain from coming out.
Lex Fridman (34:16.960)
But then you also have all of those simultaneous
Garry Nolan (34:21.060)
ship analysis from the USS Princeton
Lex Fridman (34:23.820)
and the radar analysis, et cetera.
Lex Fridman (34:26.260)
So at the end of the day, it's just data.
Lex Fridman (34:32.320)
It's not a conclusion.
Garry Nolan (34:35.300)
I'd be perfectly happy, honestly, perfectly happy
Lex Fridman (34:38.660)
if somebody showed that it was all a hoax.
Lex Fridman (34:41.300)
I can go back to my day job, right?
Lex Fridman (34:44.140)
That could be a hoax, but other things might not be.
Garry Nolan (34:47.820)
This is the point.
Lex Fridman (34:49.620)
This is why it's nice to remove some of the stigma
Garry Nolan (34:53.060)
about this topic because it's all just data
Lex Fridman (34:55.540)
and anomalous events are such that they're going to be rare
Garry Nolan (35:03.660)
in terms of how much data they represent.
Lex Fridman (35:05.860)
But we have to consider the full range of data
Garry Nolan (35:08.380)
to discover the things that actually represent something
Lex Fridman (35:11.540)
that's, if we pull at it, we'll discover something
Garry Nolan (35:14.740)
that's extraterrestrial or something deep
Lex Fridman (35:18.100)
about the phenomena on Earth that we don't yet understand.
Garry Nolan (35:21.980)
Right.
Lex Fridman (35:22.820)
Well, if it only stimulates people, for instance,
Garry Nolan (35:26.400)
to think, okay, well, what happens if we could move
Lex Fridman (35:29.380)
like that with momentumless movement?
Lex Fridman (35:32.240)
And it stimulates young individuals to go into the sciences
Lex Fridman (35:38.540)
to ask those questions.
Garry Nolan (35:40.940)
That to me is fascinating.
Lex Fridman (35:41.980)
I mean, after I've been openly talking about this
Garry Nolan (35:44.580)
in the last year, especially, I've had a number
Lex Fridman (35:47.420)
of students from top schools who aren't my students
Garry Nolan (35:52.500)
come to me and say, if I can help, let me.
Lex Fridman (35:57.300)
How can I help?
Garry Nolan (35:58.180)
I never had thought about this before,
Lex Fridman (35:59.620)
but you opened, you and others, not just you and others,
Garry Nolan (36:02.940)
have opened my mind to thinking about this matter.
Lex Fridman (36:06.260)
Yeah, that's why it's actually funny
Garry Nolan (36:07.620)
that Elon Musk doesn't think too much about this,
Lex Fridman (36:13.380)
these kinds of propulsion systems that could defy
Garry Nolan (36:15.540)
the laws of physics as we currently understand them.
Lex Fridman (36:18.700)
To me, it's a powerful way to think what is possible.
Garry Nolan (36:23.660)
It's inspiring, even if some of the data
Lex Fridman (36:26.660)
doesn't represent extraterrestrial vehicles.
Garry Nolan (36:30.260)
I think the observation itself,
Lex Fridman (36:32.940)
it's like something you mentioned,
Garry Nolan (36:35.020)
which is hypothesizing, imagining these things,
Lex Fridman (36:40.540)
considering the possibility of these things,
Garry Nolan (36:43.360)
I think opens up your mind in a way
Lex Fridman (36:45.780)
that ultimately can create the technology.
Garry Nolan (36:49.420)
First, you have to believe the technology is possible
Lex Fridman (36:52.140)
before you can create it.
Garry Nolan (36:54.060)
In my own lab, we always look for,
Lex Fridman (36:58.020)
as I've said before, what is inevitable,
Lex Fridman (37:00.880)
and saying inevitably this is the kind of data we need,
Lex Fridman (37:05.220)
but if we need that kind of data,
Garry Nolan (37:06.540)
the instrument we want doesn't exist.
Lex Fridman (37:10.780)
Okay, so I imagine the perfect instrument, I can't make it,
Lex Fridman (37:14.980)
and you back into something which is practical,
Lex Fridman (37:18.300)
and then you, in a sense, reverse engineer the future
Garry Nolan (37:22.500)
of what it is that you wanna make.
Lex Fridman (37:24.580)
And I've started and sold at least half a dozen
Garry Nolan (37:28.540)
or more companies using that basic premise.
Lex Fridman (37:32.420)
And so it was always something that didn't exist today,
Lex Fridman (37:35.940)
but we imagined what we wanted.
Lex Fridman (37:38.740)
And at the time, many people said it couldn't be done.
Garry Nolan (37:41.980)
I mean, for instance, all the gene therapy
Lex Fridman (37:43.720)
that's done today with retroviruses
Garry Nolan (37:46.200)
came from a group meeting in David Baltimore's lab.
Lex Fridman (37:49.980)
I was a postdoc with him, and one of the other postdocs
Garry Nolan (37:54.860)
wasn't able to make retroviruses in a way
Lex Fridman (37:58.060)
that he wanted to, and I realized I had a cell line
Garry Nolan (38:00.700)
that would allow us to make retroviruses
Lex Fridman (38:02.820)
in two days rather than two months.
Lex Fridman (38:05.620)
And so he and I then worked together to make that system,
Lex Fridman (38:09.600)
and now all gene therapy with retroviruses
Garry Nolan (38:11.580)
is done using this basic approach around the whole world,
Lex Fridman (38:14.700)
because something couldn't be done,
Lex Fridman (38:17.300)
and we wanted to do it better, and we imagined the future.
Lex Fridman (38:22.100)
And so that's, I think, what the whole UFO phenomenon
Garry Nolan (38:27.100)
is doing for people.
Lex Fridman (38:28.100)
It's like, well, let's imagine a future
Garry Nolan (38:30.940)
where these kinds of technologies are,
Lex Fridman (38:33.060)
but also let's imagine a future
Lex Fridman (38:34.260)
where we don't blow ourselves up, right?
Lex Fridman (38:36.140)
So if these things are there,
Garry Nolan (38:37.580)
they manage to not blow themselves up.
Lex Fridman (38:40.420)
So it means that at least one other civilization
Garry Nolan (38:44.740)
got past the inflection point.
Lex Fridman (38:47.160)
So if some of the encounters are actually representing
Garry Nolan (38:50.220)
alien civilizations visiting us,
Lex Fridman (38:52.560)
why do you think they're doing so?
Garry Nolan (38:57.400)
You suggested that perhaps it's the study
Lex Fridman (39:00.100)
understand their own past, right?
Lex Fridman (39:02.900)
What are some of the motivations, do you think?
Lex Fridman (39:05.340)
And again, from our perspective, us as humans,
Lex Fridman (39:09.240)
what motivations would we have
Lex Fridman (39:11.060)
when we approach other civilizations
Lex Fridman (39:12.960)
we might discover in the future?
Lex Fridman (39:15.140)
Well, I think one motivation might be
Lex Fridman (39:17.620)
to steer us away from the precipice, right?
Lex Fridman (39:22.340)
Or on the assumption that,
Garry Nolan (39:25.420)
even if we make it past the precipice,
Lex Fridman (39:27.580)
at least we're not a bunch of psychopaths running around.
Lex Fridman (39:32.540)
So maybe there's a little bit of motivation there
Lex Fridman (39:35.300)
to make sure that the neighbor that's growing up next to you
Garry Nolan (39:38.140)
is not unruly.
Lex Fridman (39:42.900)
But I mean, maybe it's sort of a moral imperative,
Garry Nolan (39:46.460)
like what we have with creating national parks
Lex Fridman (39:52.900)
where animals can continue to live out their lives
Garry Nolan (39:56.620)
in a natural way.
Lex Fridman (39:58.980)
I don't know.
Garry Nolan (39:59.900)
I mean, that would be, I mean, the problem is
Lex Fridman (40:02.420)
we're imagining from a anthropomorphic viewpoint
Lex Fridman (40:08.540)
what an alien might think.
Lex Fridman (40:10.260)
And as I've said before, alien means alien, right?
Garry Nolan (40:14.740)
I mean, not Hollywood aliens,
Lex Fridman (40:17.580)
but a whole different way of thinking
Lex Fridman (40:21.300)
and a whole different level of experience
Lex Fridman (40:23.620)
and let's say wisdom, hopefully,
Garry Nolan (40:27.020)
that we could only hope to understand.
Lex Fridman (40:30.220)
Now, but if we ever get out there,
Garry Nolan (40:32.220)
if we ever make it past our current problems,
Lex Fridman (40:37.100)
and even if we don't have faster than light travel,
Lex Fridman (40:39.060)
and even if we're only using ram scoops
Lex Fridman (40:43.020)
or light sails to get where we wanna go,
Lex Fridman (40:46.820)
and it takes us 10,000 years to get somewhere
Lex Fridman (40:50.620)
or to spread out, we might encounter such things.
Lex Fridman (40:53.980)
And are we just gonna stomp all over it
Lex Fridman (40:56.360)
like we did in colonial South America or Africa
Lex Fridman (41:00.500)
or all the rest on our current path, likely?
Lex Fridman (41:04.860)
And so what are we gonna learn?
Garry Nolan (41:06.580)
Well, we're getting better and better
Lex Fridman (41:08.500)
at understanding what is life.
Lex Fridman (41:10.580)
And I think we're getting better and better
Lex Fridman (41:13.820)
at being careful, not to step on it when we see it.
Lex Fridman (41:17.460)
And this is one of the nice things
Lex Fridman (41:19.740)
about talking about UFOs is it expands the Overton window.
Garry Nolan (41:24.420)
It expands our understanding of what possibly could be life.
Lex Fridman (41:28.500)
It gets us to think.
Garry Nolan (41:29.740)
It gets the scientific community to think.
Lex Fridman (41:32.060)
When we go to Mars, when we go to these different moons
Garry Nolan (41:34.860)
that possibly have life,
Lex Fridman (41:37.140)
we're not looking at legged organisms.
Garry Nolan (41:40.280)
We're looking at some kind of complexity
Lex Fridman (41:45.340)
that arises in resistance to the natural world.
Lex Fridman (41:51.860)
And there's a lot of interesting.
Lex Fridman (41:54.100)
I like that, resistance to the natural world, yeah.
Lex Fridman (41:57.300)
So somehow there's a rebellious process,
Lex Fridman (42:01.020)
complex system going on here.
Lex Fridman (42:03.380)
And I don't know the many ways it could take form.
Lex Fridman (42:06.820)
There's a sense for aliens that as the technology develops,
Garry Nolan (42:12.780)
they take form more and more as information,
Lex Fridman (42:16.820)
as something that can influence the space of ideas,
Garry Nolan (42:21.420)
of the processing of data itself.
Lex Fridman (42:24.840)
So I just, this idea of embodiment that we humans so admire,
Garry Nolan (42:30.180)
physically visible, perceivable embodiment
Lex Fridman (42:34.380)
may be a very inefficient thing, right?
Garry Nolan (42:39.700)
If you think just about your area, AI,
Lex Fridman (42:43.660)
we're trying to make smaller and smaller and smaller
Garry Nolan (42:49.140)
circuitry that is basically closer and closer
Lex Fridman (42:55.780)
to the physics of how the universe operates, right?
Garry Nolan (43:00.440)
Right down at the level of, I mean, quantum computers
Lex Fridman (43:02.700)
are basically right down about quantum information storage.
Lex Fridman (43:05.800)
So fast forward 10,000, 100,000 years,
Lex Fridman (43:10.540)
maybe somebody found a way to embody AI directly
Lex Fridman (43:13.540)
into the physics of the universe, right?
Lex Fridman (43:16.420)
And it doesn't require a physical manifestation.
Garry Nolan (43:19.620)
It just sits in space time.
Lex Fridman (43:22.820)
It's just a locally ordered space.
Lex Fridman (43:25.260)
We're just locally ordered space time, right?
Lex Fridman (43:28.780)
You know, I mean, but maybe they just,
Garry Nolan (43:31.140)
they found a way to embody it there.
Lex Fridman (43:33.820)
They probably have to get really good
Garry Nolan (43:35.380)
at not, you know, trampling on the ants.
Lex Fridman (43:38.860)
The better your technology gets,
Garry Nolan (43:40.360)
the easier it is to accidentally like, oops,
Lex Fridman (43:44.340)
just destroy these simpleton biological systems.
Garry Nolan (43:48.000)
We constantly think about whatever these things might be.
Lex Fridman (43:50.600)
We think that they are some sort of a unified force.
Garry Nolan (43:56.140)
Well, maybe they're not unified.
Lex Fridman (43:58.840)
Maybe they are as disparate as you and I are.
Lex Fridman (44:03.020)
And maybe what keeps them from stomping all over the ants
Lex Fridman (44:06.620)
is each other, right?
Garry Nolan (44:09.140)
That they are in a self tension
Lex Fridman (44:11.620)
to prevent one or more of them from running amok.
Garry Nolan (44:17.940)
Oh, yeah.
Lex Fridman (44:18.780)
I mean, that's kind of the anarchy of nations
Garry Nolan (44:21.020)
that we have on earth.
Lex Fridman (44:21.840)
So there's always going to be this.
Garry Nolan (44:27.320)
There's a hierarchy.
Lex Fridman (44:28.160)
This hierarchy that's formed
Garry Nolan (44:29.620)
of greater and greater intelligences.
Lex Fridman (44:31.700)
And they're all probably also wondering,
Lex Fridman (44:34.500)
wait, what's bigger than me?
Lex Fridman (44:36.100)
Exactly.
Garry Nolan (44:36.940)
That's what I always wonder is that maybe that they're,
Lex Fridman (44:39.340)
what keeps them in line is something that is beyond them.
Garry Nolan (44:43.740)
Like what created the universe.
Lex Fridman (44:45.240)
I mean, that's probably a question that bothers them too.
Lex Fridman (44:50.360)
What about the communication task itself?
Lex Fridman (44:53.000)
How hard do you think it is for aliens
Lex Fridman (44:54.780)
to communicate with humans?
Lex Fridman (44:56.280)
So is this something you think about
Garry Nolan (45:00.340)
about this barrier of communication
Lex Fridman (45:02.060)
between biological systems and something else?
Lex Fridman (45:04.980)
How difficult is it to find a common language?
Lex Fridman (45:08.660)
Well, I think if you're smart enough
Garry Nolan (45:11.220)
or technologically enabled enough,
Lex Fridman (45:13.780)
it's relatively straightforward.
Garry Nolan (45:18.420)
Now, whether your concepts
Lex Fridman (45:21.740)
can ever be dumbed down to us,
Garry Nolan (45:27.240)
that might be hard.
Lex Fridman (45:30.120)
I mean.
Garry Nolan (45:30.960)
Again, talking to the ants.
Lex Fridman (45:32.280)
Talking to the ants.
Garry Nolan (45:33.260)
I mean, they don't.
Lex Fridman (45:34.100)
On Instagram.
Garry Nolan (45:35.240)
So.
Lex Fridman (45:38.320)
You want to look good in this picture.
Garry Nolan (45:39.800)
Let me explain to you.
Lex Fridman (45:40.640)
Let me explain to you why.
Garry Nolan (45:41.960)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (45:44.200)
So that's the essential problem of,
Garry Nolan (45:46.920)
you know, perhaps they realize
Lex Fridman (45:51.680)
who it is that they're talking to.
Lex Fridman (45:54.260)
And they say, rather than muddy the picture,
Lex Fridman (45:57.920)
we're only going to give them limited information.
Garry Nolan (46:00.960)
Yeah.
Lex Fridman (46:01.800)
Right?
Lex Fridman (46:02.620)
And yeah, maybe we could sit down,
Lex Fridman (46:04.380)
like you and I, and have a conversation.
Lex Fridman (46:06.600)
But then they would make assumptions.
Lex Fridman (46:09.080)
The humans would then make assumptions about us
Garry Nolan (46:10.800)
that aren't true.
Lex Fridman (46:12.020)
Because we're not humans, right?
Lex Fridman (46:13.920)
So let's stay at arm's length.
Lex Fridman (46:17.360)
Let's just let them know that we're here, right?
Lex Fridman (46:21.760)
And here's the limited amount of communication.
Lex Fridman (46:23.780)
Again, this notion that
Garry Nolan (46:26.640)
if you give somebody everything, they'll get lazy.
Lex Fridman (46:30.520)
And, you know, if they've been around as long as they have,
Garry Nolan (46:34.120)
they've seen every kind of thing that can go wrong.
Lex Fridman (46:37.660)
And so they know as much as they might want to step in,
Garry Nolan (46:42.660)
that that would be a wrong thing.
Lex Fridman (46:45.660)
Yeah, you have to also understand
Garry Nolan (46:47.180)
the amount of wisdom they carry.
Lex Fridman (46:50.300)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (46:52.340)
You know, and so it's very easy as well for religions to,
Lex Fridman (46:56.540)
I don't want to get into a whole religious conversation,
Lex Fridman (46:58.780)
but it's very easy for,
Lex Fridman (47:00.780)
you could see how religions could call them angels
Garry Nolan (47:04.220)
or devils or what have you.
Lex Fridman (47:06.780)
Because, again, if you're trying to fit it
Garry Nolan (47:08.980)
into a framework of cultural understanding,
Lex Fridman (47:12.240)
the first thing you reach for is God.
Lex Fridman (47:16.040)
And so when you look at what these things are,
Lex Fridman (47:21.300)
and again, with the angels and the devils,
Garry Nolan (47:24.380)
in a similar sort of way, their communication is limited.
Lex Fridman (47:29.460)
They just kind of give little, what's the oracle of Delphi?
Garry Nolan (47:33.300)
They kind of give these Delphic pronouncements,
Lex Fridman (47:36.620)
and then it's up to you to figure out
Lex Fridman (47:37.860)
what it is that they really mean.
Lex Fridman (47:39.500)
Yeah.
Garry Nolan (47:41.100)
Steven Greer claimed that a skeleton discovered
Lex Fridman (47:45.220)
in Atacama region of Chile might be an alien.
Garry Nolan (47:50.100)
You reached out to him and took on the task
Lex Fridman (47:53.740)
of proving or disproving that with the rigor of science.
Garry Nolan (47:57.180)
The result is a paper titled
Lex Fridman (47:59.340)
Whole Genome Sequencing of Atacama Skeleton
Garry Nolan (48:02.100)
Shows Novel Mutations Linked with Dysplasia.
Lex Fridman (48:06.320)
Can you tell this full story?
Garry Nolan (48:07.820)
Well, the story was, as you put it right there, correct.
Lex Fridman (48:13.980)
Reached out, got a sample of the body,
Garry Nolan (48:18.500)
did the DNA sequencing, then worked with a team
Lex Fridman (48:22.440)
of two other Stanford scientists
Lex Fridman (48:25.080)
and Roche sequencing group, Roche Diagnostics,
Lex Fridman (48:30.940)
and probably a total team of about 11 or so people.
Lex Fridman (48:33.580)
And as is standard in these kinds of things,
Lex Fridman (48:38.220)
the professors actually don't do the work.
Garry Nolan (48:40.500)
The students do the work and figured out the answer.
Lex Fridman (48:44.220)
And then we helped them put together the story.
Lex Fridman (48:48.560)
And the story was simply that it was human, 100%.
Lex Fridman (48:54.300)
I went into it thinking it was originally a monkey
Garry Nolan (48:57.300)
of some sort.
Lex Fridman (48:59.800)
I got kind of excited a few months into the process,
Lex Fridman (49:02.700)
thinking, well, what happens if it is an alien, right?
Lex Fridman (49:06.300)
Can you describe some of the characteristics
Lex Fridman (49:08.180)
of the skeleton that makes it unique and interesting?
Lex Fridman (49:10.420)
Primarily, it had dysmorphias of the brain.
Lex Fridman (49:13.960)
And so the first thing I did actually,
Lex Fridman (49:15.440)
when I got pictures of it,
Garry Nolan (49:17.040)
I took it to a local expert at Stanford
Lex Fridman (49:21.340)
and he was on the paper.
Lex Fridman (49:24.320)
And he was the world expert in pediatric bone dysmorphias.
Lex Fridman (49:29.320)
He literally wrote the book on this,
Garry Nolan (49:33.060)
because that's what you do.
Lex Fridman (49:33.900)
You go to an expert when it's outside
Garry Nolan (49:35.540)
of your field of interest.
Lex Fridman (49:36.980)
And he said, well, I haven't seen this particular collection
Garry Nolan (49:40.860)
of mutations before or this physiology before,
Lex Fridman (49:46.420)
but here's what I think it might be.
Lex Fridman (49:49.540)
And he said, but based on the size of the thing
Lex Fridman (49:53.540)
and the bone density, it would appear to be like six
Garry Nolan (49:59.540)
or seven years old.
Lex Fridman (50:01.020)
Now, again, that's the thing where I think the lay public
Garry Nolan (50:06.940)
doesn't understand or takes a speculation like that
Lex Fridman (50:11.380)
and turns it into a fact.
Garry Nolan (50:13.500)
No one ever said that it was that age.
Lex Fridman (50:15.900)
We only said that the bones made it look like it was
Garry Nolan (50:18.420)
that age, but then we went back and looked for,
Lex Fridman (50:22.100)
we went back and looked for genetic explanations
Garry Nolan (50:26.660)
of why things might look the way they did.
Lex Fridman (50:29.060)
And if you, again, read the paper is very carefully
Garry Nolan (50:32.580)
caveated to say that these mutations might result in this.
Lex Fridman (50:38.380)
But what we did find was an unexpectedly large number
Garry Nolan (50:43.460)
of mutations associated with bone growth in this individual.
Lex Fridman (50:48.140)
And it was just a bad roll of the dice, right?
Garry Nolan (50:52.180)
You roll the dice enough times
Lex Fridman (50:53.620)
with enough people born every year
Lex Fridman (50:56.460)
and someone will roll the wrong dice all at once.
Lex Fridman (51:02.740)
So the sad part about it was individuals
Garry Nolan (51:06.180)
in the UFO community who wanted to think
Lex Fridman (51:09.540)
that there was some sort of conspiracy around it, right?
Garry Nolan (51:14.020)
That somebody had somehow convinced all of my students to lie.
Lex Fridman (51:20.500)
I mean, come on, you know, I would lose my job,
Garry Nolan (51:24.340)
first of all, and they would all be in trouble forever.
Lex Fridman (51:31.340)
Yeah, but also it's just projecting malevolence
Garry Nolan (51:34.100)
onto people that doesn't, I don't think exists
Lex Fridman (51:37.820)
in normal populace and especially doesn't exist
Garry Nolan (51:40.740)
in the scientific community.
Lex Fridman (51:42.220)
The kind of people that go into science,
Garry Nolan (51:43.740)
I mean, this is what bothers me
Lex Fridman (51:44.900)
with the current distrust of science,
Garry Nolan (51:47.460)
is they might be naive, they might not,
Lex Fridman (51:51.780)
especially in modern science, look at the big picture,
Garry Nolan (51:54.500)
philosophical, ethical questions, all that kind of stuff,
Lex Fridman (51:57.420)
but ultimately they're people with integrity
Lex Fridman (52:02.020)
and just a deep curiosity
Lex Fridman (52:04.180)
for the discovery of cool little things.
Lex Fridman (52:06.820)
And there's no malevolence, broadly speaking,
Lex Fridman (52:14.060)
in the scientific community.
Garry Nolan (52:15.820)
So, I mean, there's a bigger story here,
Lex Fridman (52:17.660)
which is, you know, there's a hunger in the populace
Garry Nolan (52:22.300)
to discover something anomalous, something new.
Lex Fridman (52:25.700)
And, you know, science has to be both open to the anomalous,
Lex Fridman (52:31.780)
but also to reject the anomalous
Lex Fridman (52:35.340)
when the data doesn't support it.
Lex Fridman (52:37.460)
What do you make of that, you know,
Lex Fridman (52:39.460)
walking that line for you?
Garry Nolan (52:40.780)
Because you're dealing with UFO encounters,
Lex Fridman (52:42.820)
you're dealing with the anomalous.
Garry Nolan (52:45.700)
Well, people have said, let's go back to the Atacama case
Lex Fridman (52:49.980)
that I was debunking it.
Garry Nolan (52:52.100)
Well, debunking is a loaded term.
Lex Fridman (52:54.300)
Sort of assumes that you were going in purposefully
Garry Nolan (52:57.700)
to prove something is wrong.
Lex Fridman (53:00.580)
I wasn't, I was just going in to collect the data.
Garry Nolan (53:03.940)
And, you know, I showed that this one was human.
Lex Fridman (53:08.140)
There was another skull that somebody had at one point.
Garry Nolan (53:11.220)
It was called the star child.
Lex Fridman (53:12.300)
They called it the star child skull.
Garry Nolan (53:14.140)
I said, you know, I looked at it.
Lex Fridman (53:15.780)
I looked at the DNA sequencing that they had done.
Garry Nolan (53:18.020)
I said, this is human.
Lex Fridman (53:19.900)
End of story.
Garry Nolan (53:22.420)
The people who owned the thing at the time disagreed with me,
Lex Fridman (53:26.340)
and then eventually another group came in
Lex Fridman (53:28.540)
and proved that I was right.
Lex Fridman (53:30.700)
And it's not about debunking.
Garry Nolan (53:32.380)
It's about getting the more spectacular and hyped cases
Lex Fridman (53:36.740)
off the table.
Garry Nolan (53:37.580)
I mean, the reason I got interested in it
Lex Fridman (53:39.300)
is because somebody was hyping it.
Lex Fridman (53:41.100)
And not because I wanted to disprove it,
Lex Fridman (53:42.780)
but because I just wanted to know.
Lex Fridman (53:44.620)
And thus, get it off the table, because it's usually
Lex Fridman (53:46.860)
the most extravagant things that are most likely to be wrong.
Garry Nolan (53:52.620)
Somewhere in the rubble will be something interesting.
Lex Fridman (53:57.380)
And so that's what you do.
Garry Nolan (53:58.660)
You get the dross off the table.
Lex Fridman (54:02.340)
And then somewhere in the data will
Garry Nolan (54:04.940)
be something worth real inquiry.
Lex Fridman (54:09.580)
And that, if you inquire deeply enough,
Garry Nolan (54:12.420)
will be extravagant as well.
Lex Fridman (54:13.820)
Yes, exactly.
Lex Fridman (54:15.060)
And that's what actually excites scientists is to, I mean,
Lex Fridman (54:18.340)
you want, with the rigor of science,
Garry Nolan (54:21.100)
to actually reveal the extravagant.
Lex Fridman (54:24.140)
And so look at CRISPR as probably the most perfect
Garry Nolan (54:26.740)
example of that.
Lex Fridman (54:27.940)
These weird sequences in bacterial genomes,
Garry Nolan (54:32.780)
all arrayed one after the other with these strange sequences
Lex Fridman (54:36.540)
around them, but when you looked at the sequences,
Garry Nolan (54:38.620)
they looked like viruses.
Lex Fridman (54:41.140)
And so how did they get there?
Lex Fridman (54:42.820)
And lo and behold, after a lot of effort and work,
Lex Fridman (54:46.100)
well, a couple of Nobel Prizes went out the door.
Lex Fridman (54:48.900)
But these strange things ended up
Lex Fridman (54:52.780)
having extraordinarily extravagant possibilities.
Garry Nolan (54:57.920)
You've also looked at UFO materials.
Lex Fridman (55:00.100)
You are in possession of UFO materials yourself.
Garry Nolan (55:03.820)
Claimed UFO materials, alleged.
Lex Fridman (55:07.100)
Alleged UFO materials, that's right.
Lex Fridman (55:08.940)
So what's another term?
Lex Fridman (55:11.580)
Weird materials that don't seem to have a story.
Garry Nolan (55:17.500)
They have a story that doesn't seem to be of natural origins,
Lex Fridman (55:20.140)
but it's not, you know, there's a process to proving that.
Lex Fridman (55:25.980)
And that process may take decades, if not centuries,
Lex Fridman (55:30.660)
because you have to keep pulling at the string
Lex Fridman (55:33.300)
and discover where they could possibly come from.
Lex Fridman (55:35.820)
But anyway, you're in a possession
Garry Nolan (55:37.660)
of some materials of this kind.
Lex Fridman (55:41.540)
Can you describe some of them and maybe also
Garry Nolan (55:45.780)
talk to the process of how you investigate them,
Lex Fridman (55:48.540)
how do you analyze them?
Garry Nolan (55:50.100)
Right, so let's say that there's two classes of materials
Lex Fridman (55:53.900)
that I've been given by people.
Lex Fridman (55:56.380)
And they're not given by the government or anything,
Lex Fridman (55:58.380)
just given people who've collected them,
Lex Fridman (56:00.220)
and there's a reasonable chain of evidence associated
Lex Fridman (56:03.140)
with them that you believe is not just a pebble somebody
Garry Nolan (56:05.900)
picked up off a road.
Lex Fridman (56:09.500)
There are almost always things that people have claimed
Garry Nolan (56:12.020)
have either been dropped off as like some sort
Lex Fridman (56:15.500)
of a leftover material, molten metals,
Garry Nolan (56:19.280)
or they are from an object that was released from this
Lex Fridman (56:26.580)
or that kind of exploded.
Garry Nolan (56:29.500)
They're almost always metals.
Lex Fridman (56:31.040)
I have some couple of things that
Garry Nolan (56:32.460)
might be biological that are interesting that I haven't
Lex Fridman (56:34.780)
really spent a lot of time on yet.
Garry Nolan (56:36.500)
When you look at a metal, you basically, well, OK,
Lex Fridman (56:39.920)
what are the elements in it?
Lex Fridman (56:42.260)
And what's it made of?
Lex Fridman (56:44.460)
And so there's pretty standard approaches to doing that.
Garry Nolan (56:47.840)
Most of them involve a technology
Lex Fridman (56:49.540)
called mass spectrometry, and there's probably
Garry Nolan (56:52.180)
about five or six different kinds of mass spectrometry
Lex Fridman (56:54.300)
that you could bring to bear on answering it.
Lex Fridman (56:57.620)
And they either tell you, depending
Lex Fridman (56:59.500)
upon the limit of the resolution of the instrument,
Garry Nolan (57:02.260)
they either tell you the elements that are there,
Lex Fridman (57:05.220)
or they tell you the isotopes that are there.
Lex Fridman (57:07.140)
And you're interested not just in knowing whether something
Lex Fridman (57:09.680)
is there or not, you're interested in knowing
Garry Nolan (57:12.620)
whether there are the amounts of it,
Lex Fridman (57:17.740)
and in the case of elements, how many different isotopes
Garry Nolan (57:22.300)
are there.
Lex Fridman (57:23.540)
And that's kind of where, in some of these cases,
Garry Nolan (57:25.900)
it gets interesting.
Lex Fridman (57:27.580)
Because in at least one of the materials,
Garry Nolan (57:30.620)
as we first studied it, the isotope ratios of, in this case,
Lex Fridman (57:34.500)
it was magnesium, are way off normal.
Lex Fridman (57:37.380)
And I just don't know why.
Lex Fridman (57:40.060)
It doesn't prove anything.
Garry Nolan (57:43.260)
All it proves is that it was probably accomplished
Lex Fridman (57:48.500)
by some kind of an industrial process.
Garry Nolan (57:51.300)
Whether it's the result of a process,
Lex Fridman (57:55.140)
and this is sort of the leftover,
Garry Nolan (57:57.420)
or whether it was made that way for a particular purpose,
Lex Fridman (58:01.740)
I don't know.
Garry Nolan (58:02.740)
All I know is that it was engineered.
Lex Fridman (58:09.860)
That's it.
Lex Fridman (58:11.540)
But then the question is, sort of you go one step deeper,
Lex Fridman (58:16.980)
why would you engineer it?
Garry Nolan (58:20.340)
Right.
Lex Fridman (58:21.380)
Why engineer it, and what does engineered means?
Garry Nolan (58:24.260)
There's all kinds of, it could be a byproduct,
Lex Fridman (58:27.260)
it could be the main result of an engineering process,
Garry Nolan (58:34.220)
it would be a small part of the engineering process that
Lex Fridman (58:37.580)
is the main part.
Garry Nolan (58:39.140)
Well, so the ratios of isotopes for any given element
Lex Fridman (58:43.860)
are basically the result of stellar processes.
Garry Nolan (58:48.540)
Supernova blew up sometime several billion years ago.
Lex Fridman (58:55.620)
That became a cloud.
Garry Nolan (58:56.940)
Those atoms coalesced gravitationally
Lex Fridman (59:00.660)
to form another sun, and a ring that became a rocky planet.
Lex Fridman (59:07.100)
And the ratios of the isotopes were determined
Lex Fridman (59:11.100)
at the time of that explosion.
Lex Fridman (59:14.500)
And so everything in the local solar system
Lex Fridman (59:17.260)
is more or less of that ratio, depending
Garry Nolan (59:20.180)
upon certain gravitational difference.
Lex Fridman (59:22.260)
But by fragments of a percent, not whole tens of percent
Garry Nolan (59:28.500)
difference.
Lex Fridman (59:29.700)
So what do humans use isotopes for?
Garry Nolan (59:32.580)
Mostly to blow stuff up.
Lex Fridman (59:34.220)
I mean, the vast majority of the isotopes
Garry Nolan (59:36.500)
that have been made in the per pound or ton
Lex Fridman (59:40.700)
are things like certain ratios of plutonium and uranium
Garry Nolan (59:44.540)
to blow stuff up.
Lex Fridman (59:45.780)
We don't make or engineer isotopes, which today
Garry Nolan (59:51.180)
is relatively easy to do, but it's still expensive.
Lex Fridman (59:54.100)
For any other reason, apart from, let's say, anti cancer,
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