Douglas Murray #2

Douglas Murray · 27,699 词 · 查看原文 ↗
政治与社会历史与文明音乐与艺术技术与编程生物与进化
📋 章节目录
0:00 Episode highlight · 剧集亮点
0:24 Introduction · 介绍
2:38 War in Ukraine · 乌克兰战争
6:24 Trump and Zelenskyy · 特朗普和泽伦斯基
20:54 Putin · 普京
41:47 Peace · 和平
51:38 Zelenskyy · 泽伦斯基
1:06:17 Israel-Palestine · 以色列-巴勒斯坦
1:17:04 Hamas · 哈马斯
1:31:37 Corruption · 腐败
1:34:47 Gaza · 加沙
1:55:25 Benjamin Netanyahu · 本杰明·内塔尼亚胡
2:12:36 Hate · 恨
2:37:06 Iran · 伊朗
2:47:55 Interview advice · 面试建议
3:02:19 War · 战争
🔑 关键词
douglasmurraywarisraelhamasdongazasaidukrainepeacegoingpersonputinsaysseensayinggotmilitarydoesnhard
💬 精彩语录
"By the way, it’s an example of the frivolity of a lot of the attempts to understand what’s going on. I mean, my view is that since actually most people, in fact, everybody cannot be an expert on everything. One of the things that we always do is to seize on minor and really quite unimportant things. I mean, every site does it. Look at the way in which the American right for years talked about the Churchill bust leaving the White House Oval Office in the Obama years. I didn’t want to hear another darn thing about the Churchill bust after eight years because it was in lieu of trying to understand and actually critique Obama’s foreign policy. It was just an easy shorthand. I think it’s the same, we’re always tempted to that."
顺便说一句,这是许多试图了解正在发生的事情的轻率尝试的一个例子。我的意思是,我的观点是,因为实际上大多数人,事实上,每个人都不可能成为所有事情的专家。我们经常做的事情之一就是抓住次要的、非常不重要的事情。我的意思是,每个网站都这样做。看看美国右翼多年来如何谈论奥巴马时代离开白宫椭圆形办公室的丘吉尔半身像。八年后我不想听到关于丘吉尔半身像的另一件该死的事情,因为它取代了试图理解和实际批评奥巴马的外交政策。这只是一个简单的简写。我认为这是一样的,我们总是受到这样的诱惑。
— Douglas Murray (00:13:31)
"We know it happens like that from films, but too few people understand that regimes like that in Tehran operate like that on a grand scale, on the biggest of scales, and with the ultimate of brutality, and that’s how they stay empower. And one other thing on that, by the way, which is, I was reminded of this the other day, thinking about this, what I’ve just described as a sort of a problem in democracies is that we like to think everyone thinks like us, and we’d like everyone to be like us, and we believe fictions that we’re taught in films, like everyone basically wants the same things as us, and you go, you haven’t stepped outside the walls of the city if you think that."
我们知道事情就像电影中那样发生,但很少有人了解像德黑兰这样的政权是这样大规模、最大规模、最残酷地运作的,而这就是他们保持权力的方式。顺便说一句,另一件事是,前几天我想起了这一点,想到这一点,我刚才描述的民主国家的一个问题是,我们喜欢认为每个人都像我们一样思考,我们希望每个人都像我们一样,我们相信电影中教给我们的虚构故事,就像每个人基本上都想要和我们一样的东西,如果你这么想,你就还没有走出城市的围墙。
— Douglas Murray (02:43:49)
"I think that is, again, it’s something that a lot of people sitting on the other side of the screen don’t realize, is that it may satisfy them that you call a person a liar to their face, but it doesn’t do anything, and it actually reveals nothing. If somebody is a liar and they reveal themselves to be a liar, then that’s something else. But yes, I mean, I hear you, obviously you have a lot of different voices telling you what to do. It’s also difficult because one of the things that I don’t think anyone really understands is that in the end it’s just you."
我认为,很多坐在屏幕另一边的人都没有意识到,当你当面称一个人为骗子时,他们可能会感到满意,但这没有任何作用,实际上也没有透露任何信息。如果某人是个骗子并且他们暴露自己是个骗子,那么那就是另一回事了。但是,是的,我的意思是,我听到你的声音,显然你有很多不同的声音告诉你该怎么做。这也很困难,因为我认为没有人真正理解的一件事是,最终只有你一个人。
— Douglas Murray (02:52:47)
"People have very little understanding of things if they’re willing to say that because you’re sitting down and talking with somebody you are ergo platforming them, advancing their cause, being used, being a shill, or whatever like that. You might be actually just finding some things out, which I think is something you do expertly. And another thing that your critics wouldn’t realize is that life is long, and hopefully, God willing, we’re both around for a long time, and therefore you don’t blow everything up at the request of some twat online."
如果人们愿意这么说,那么他们对事情的理解就很少,因为你坐下来与某人交谈,因此你就是在平台化他们,推进他们的事业,被利用,成为托儿,或者类似的事情。你可能实际上只是发现了一些事情,我认为这是你擅长做的事情。另一件你的批评者不会意识到的事情是,生命是漫长的,希望上帝愿意,我们都存在很长一段时间,因此你不会应网上某些傻瓜的要求而毁掉一切。
— Douglas Murray (02:57:12)
"I would trust most of my friends in East and Central Europe who certainly do think that. There’s a reason why the Baltic countries are the countries that are spending highest in percentage of GDP on defense. And it’s because they’re very worried. I don’t think they’re faking it. I don’t think they’re faking it for me or for anyone else. I think the Lithuanians, Latvians, Estonians and others are genuinely worried for the first time in some decades."
我相信我在东欧和中欧的大多数朋友肯定也这么认为。波罗的海国家是国防支出占国内生产总值百分比最高的国家是有原因的。这是因为他们非常担心。我不认为他们在假装。我不认为他们是为了我或其他人而假装的。我认为立陶宛人、拉脱维亚人、爱沙尼亚人和其他人几十年来第一次真正感到担忧。
— Douglas Murray (00:23:52)
🎙️ 完整对话(490 条)
Lex Fridman (00:00:00)
… end up chanting in front of him, “Viva la Muerte. Long-lived death.” They have their counterparts today. They are the people who taunt Americans, Westerners, Israelis, and others with lines like, “We love death more than you love live.”
Lex Fridman (00:00:24)
The following is a conversation with Douglas Murray, author of the War in the West, the Madness of Crowds and his new book On Democracies and Death Cults. We talk about Russia and Ukraine and about Israel and Gaza. Douglas has very strong views on these topics, and he defends them brilliantly and fearlessly. As I always try to do for all topics, I will also talk to people who have different views from Douglas, including the next episode of this podcast. We live in an era of online discourse where grifters, drama farmers, liars, bots, sycophants, and sociopaths roam the vast beautiful dark land of the internet. It’s hard to know who to trust. I believe no one is in possession of the entire truth, but some are more correct than others. Some are insightful and some are delusional. The problem is it’s hard to tell which is which unless you use your mind with intellectual humility and with rigor.
以下是与道格拉斯·默里(Douglas Murray)的对话,他是《西方战争》、《人群的疯狂》及其新书《论民主与死亡崇拜》的作者。 We talk about Russia and Ukraine and about Israel and Gaza. Douglas has very strong views on these topics, and he defends them brilliantly and fearlessly. As I always try to do for all topics, I will also talk to people who have different views
Lex Fridman (00:01:34)
I recommend you listen to many sources who disagree with each other and tried to pick up wisdom from each. Also, I recommend you visit the places in question as Douglas has, as I have, or at least talk face-to-face with people who have spent most of their lives living there. Whether it’s Israel, Palestine, Ukraine, or Russia. Let’s try together to not be cogs in the machine of outrage, and instead to reach toward reason and compassion. There is no Hitler, Stalin, or Mao on the world stage today. Plus, there are thousands of nuclear weapons ready to fire. Human civilization hangs in the balance. The 21st century is a new geopolitical puzzle, all of us are tasked with solving. Let’s not mess it up. This is the Lex Fridman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here’s Douglas Murray. War in Ukraine
I recommend you listen to many sources who disagree with each other and tried to pick up wisdom from each. Also, I recommend you visit the places in question as Douglas has, as I have, or at least talk face-to-face with people who have spent most of their lives living there. Whether it’s Israel, Palestine, Ukraine, or Russia.让我们共同努力,不要成为愤怒机器上的齿轮,而是
Lex Fridman (00:02:38)
What have you understood about the war in Ukraine from your visits there? Just looking at the big picture of your understanding of the invasion of February 24th, 2022, and the war in the three years since?
Lex Fridman (00:02:50)
I mean, several things has political angles, which are forever changing. But on the human level, as you know, if you visit troops, frontline troops, you have that admiration for people defending their country, defending their homes, defending their families. Struck by the way in which that is at a remove from the sort of political noise and the media noise and much more. It’s very easy to get caught up in the to’s and fro’s of today’s news, but that to my mind is that’s the single thing that struck me most in my visits there. Is just the people I’ve met who are fighting for a cause, which at that level is unavoidable, undeniable.
Lex Fridman (00:03:45)
So, the thing that struck you that’s different from the media turmoil is just the reality of war?
Douglas Murray (00:03:52)
Yeah, of course. I mean, people who have either lived under Russian occupation from invading armies and then come back out into the world, having been liberated as in late 2022. Or the people now organized most recently there in recent weeks, who were just getting on with their job as soldiers whilst the world was talking about them.
是的,当然。 I mean, people who have either lived under Russian occupation from invading armies and then come back out into the world, having been liberated as in late 2022. Or the people now organized most recently there in recent weeks, who were just getting on with their job as soldiers whilst the world was talking about them.
Lex Fridman (00:04:19)
When were you there early on in this escalated war of ’22?
你什么时候参与了这场 22 年这场不断升级的战争?
Douglas Murray (00:04:25)
Yes, first time was, I was with the Ukrainian Armed Forces when they retook Kherson, and I was back in recent weeks. And was there when the Trump-Zelensky blow up happened. In fact, I was in a Ukrainian dugout at the front lines when I was watching it.
Yes, first time was, I was with the Ukrainian Armed Forces when they retook Kherson, and I was back in recent weeks.当特朗普和泽伦斯基爆发冲突时他也在场。 In fact, I was in a Ukrainian dugout at the front lines when I was watching it.
Lex Fridman (00:04:45)
How’s the morale? How’s the way the content of the conversations you’ve heard different from the two visits separated by, I guess, two years?
How’s the morale?我想,您所听到的谈话内容与相隔两年的两次访问有何不同?
Douglas Murray (00:04:58)
One level, I mean, nothing has changed much. It is not a total standoff because intermittently each side gains territory from the others. I mean, there’d been no very significant military gains by either side in the interim period.
我的意思是,在某一层面上,一切都没有太大改变。这并不是一场彻底的对峙,因为双方都间歇性地从对方手中夺取领土。我的意思是,在过渡时期双方都没有取得非常重大的军事进展。
Lex Fridman (00:05:18)
I think my experience of the soldiers, the people of Ukraine early on in the war, there’s a intense optimism about the outcomes of the war. There’s a sense that they’re going to win. And the definition of what win means was like, all the territory is going to be one back.
我认为,根据战争初期乌克兰士兵和人民的经历,人们对战争的结果抱有强烈的乐观态度。有一种他们会赢的感觉。胜利的定义是,所有领土都将被逆转。
Douglas Murray (00:05:41)
Yeah, I certainly on the front lines facing Crimea was became quite familiar with people who thought that the Ukrainians in late 2022 would even be able to get Crimea back. And that struck me even at the time, and I thought that that was an overreach.
是的,我确实在面对克里米亚的前线非常熟悉那些认为乌克兰人甚至能够在 2022 年底夺回克里米亚的人。甚至在当时我就震惊了,我认为这是一种过分的行为。
Lex Fridman (00:05:57)
And now, I think the people, the soldiers, at least in my experience when I visited the second time, are more exhausted. The morale, the dreams, the certainty of victory has maybe faded from the forefront of their minds.
现在,我认为人民、士兵们,至少从我第二次访问时的经验来看,更加疲惫不堪。士气、梦想和胜利的确定性可能已经从他们的脑海中消失了。
Lex Fridman (00:06:21)
Well, three years of war will tire out anyone. Trump and Zelenskyy
好吧,三年的战争会让任何人疲惫不堪。特朗普和泽伦斯基
Lex Fridman (00:06:24)
What did you think of the blow up between Zelensky and Trump as you’re sitting there in the dugout?
当你坐在休息室里时,你对泽连斯基和特朗普之间的争吵有何看法?
Douglas Murray (00:06:31)
Well, it was a very disturbing place to watch it from, perhaps anywhere would’ve been. And obviously, it was a meeting that shouldn’t have happened. It was far too early.
嗯,从那里观看它是一个非常令人不安的地方,也许在任何地方都会如此。显然,这是一次不应该发生的会议。还太早了。
Lex Fridman (00:06:45)
Why do you think so? There’s not enough actual pathways to peace on the table?
你为什么这么认为?桌面上没有足够的实际和平途径吗?
Douglas Murray (00:06:50)
Well, I think the mineral deal, I mean, I love the fact that everyone’s now an expert in Eastern Ukrainian mineral deposits, but-
好吧,我认为矿产交易,我的意思是,我喜欢这样一个事实,即每个人现在都是乌克兰东部矿藏的专家,但是-
Lex Fridman (00:06:57)
I think as I’ve learned, and we’ll talk about Israel and Palestine, I’m learning that everybody’s an expert on geopolitics and the history of war on the internet.
我认为,据我所知,我们将讨论以色列和巴勒斯坦,我了解到每个人都是互联网上的地缘政治和战争史专家。
Lex Fridman (00:07:05)
And now mineral deposits, obviously.
Lex Fridman (00:07:07)
Yes.
Douglas Murray (00:07:09)
I’m really speaking of the edge of my mineral deposit knowledge here. But no, from what I could see the deal that the American administration was trying to get the Ukrainian government to sign, it was too early to force. The Ukrainians were ready to sign a deal, but were obviously under intense pressure. And I think certainly, Zelensky actually wasn’t expecting to go until pretty much the day before, was obviously visibly tired and exhausted. Again, as you are after that amount of pressure for that long time. I mean, the thing that struck me, and I said this in my column, the New York Post from there, that the thing that struck me was I said to some of the soldiers I was with, what do you make of this? And one of them just said to me, “Well, we’re advised not to follow too closely the ins and outs of the politics of this,” but of course everyone has Instagram or scrolls and among dog pictures and the hot women or whatever is what happened in the Oval. But what struck me was this same guy and saying, “I’ve got a job to do.”
Lex Fridman (00:08:30)
Right. And there’s a clarity and a wisdom to that. But your job is bigger than that, right? Is to understand the politics as well. And what do you think about the politics of that moment? Because that was a real opportunity to come together and make progress on peace, right? And by all accounts was not a successful step forward.
Douglas Murray (00:08:59)
I don’t think by any account, it was a successful step forward. Unless to some extent it was a play, from DC to say to Putin, “Look, we doffed off Zelensky and now give us something.” That’s the only remedial idea I have about what might have been behind it. But I think it was just one of those extremely, I mean, just awful political moments. Zelensky was obviously deeply irritated by the interpretation of the war that he was hearing from Washington. It was only a week after the Trump comments about Zelensky being a dictator, and people and the administration implying that Ukraine has started the war. And I think that must be for Zelensky, a pretty Alice in Wonderland situation to be in. And I had significant sympathy for him in finding it bewildering because it would be bewildering.
Lex Fridman (00:10:13)
I think the sad thing to me also on the mundane details of that meeting and just the unfortunate way that meetings happen, I think it’s true that he was also exhausted. There was a dickhead, a reporter that was asked the question about outfit in a way that, listen, Zelensky, everybody has their strengths and weaknesses. He’s an emotional being, for better or for worse. And there’s a dumb dickhead of a reporter-
Lex Fridman (00:10:42)
Margie Taylor Green’s boyfriend. He is, yeah, yeah.
Lex Fridman (00:10:46)
The things you know. See, you’re a real journalist.
Douglas Murray (00:10:51)
I’m all for opening up the White House press pool and all that sort of thing, but it means that you get some people in who are sort of, yeah, from a bloglanders. Nothing wrong with that, but it means that you get somebody who will do something like that. The problem with that interaction, as I saw it, was that guy asked that disrespectful question, and I think it was disrespectful. I’ll very quickly say why. I think that when a man comes from the realm of war into the realm of peace, the people in the realm of peace should have some respect or at least concession that the other man has come from the realm of war. And that if you are sitting in a political environment where you talk about people being destroyed and decimated and defenestrated and much more to a man who’s for whom, none of that is metaphorical. I think that’s extremely hard to accept.
Lex Fridman (00:11:59)
And I think that probably also at that moment, there was a sort of sense of Zelensky is being disrespected by being asked about what he’s wearing when as everyone knows, Churchill during World War II used to wear his fatigues on foreign visit. But [inaudible 00:12:19] just that is to remind people that you are coming from the realm of war. And I think that probably in that moment, one of the things that would’ve been going through his head would be, I mean, if this was Putin sitting here being assaulted by a journalist, you’d hope your host stepped in and defended you.
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